Are you "Infected by a remainer mind virus"?

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al_yrpal
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Re: Are you "Infected by a remainer mind virus"?

Post by al_yrpal »

Perhaps the rise of anti EU feeling is the result of Euro political red tape and a feeling of individual powerlessness? If it went back to just being simply a Common Market and ceased being an obviously incompetent unaccountable lumbering political nonentity perhaps more people would support it?

Al
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Jdsk
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Re: Are you "Infected by a remainer mind virus"?

Post by Jdsk »

al_yrpal wrote: 23 Feb 2024, 10:24am Perhaps the rise of anti EU feeling is the result of Euro political red tape and a feeling of individual powerlessness? If it went back to just being simply a Common Market and ceased being an obviously incompetent unaccountable lumbering political nonentity perhaps more people would support it?
What's the evidence for a "rise of anti EU feeling" amongst the populations of the Member States?

Thanks

Jonathan

PS: One of the many strengths of the Pew Research surveys is that they have run the same questions over several years. This makes them the best available information on trends.
Jdsk
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Re: Are you "Infected by a remainer mind virus"?

Post by Jdsk »

And the latest YouGov results on membership of the EU, by country:

Screenshot 2024-02-23 at 10.34.28.png
https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/d ... an24_W.pdf

Jonathan
Carlton green
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Re: Are you "Infected by a remainer mind virus"?

Post by Carlton green »

roubaixtuesday wrote: 23 Feb 2024, 9:20am
Carlton green wrote: 23 Feb 2024, 9:07am
Politicians and academics will twist data for their own ends ….
Experts? pfft. Who needs 'em. The bloke down the pub understands stats much better.

But seriously, and interestingly, most of the difference in educational attainment is mooted to explained by the cultural, political and economic influences associated with educational attainment, not the actual qualifications (ie if you read the Express and are in an insecure job, whether you've got a PhD or not made relatively little difference to your Brexit voting likelihood)

Educational attainment does also appear to have a direct effect on EU referendum voting. Gaining additional educational qualifications remains associated with voting to remain even after accounting for all three indirect educational influences – cultural attitudes, economic orientations and political cue-taking.

However, this direct educational effect is relatively small – accounting for only around one fifth of the overall ‘educational gap’ in Leave/Remain voting. Clearly then, indirect educational influences constitute the most important part of the story in explaining why the referendum vote divided so starkly along educational lines.


https://ukandeu.ac.uk/educational-attai ... um-voting/
Experts, experts at what ??? Indeed who does need them, or rather who does need those whose focus isn’t on the whole truth but instead on their personal beliefs and ambitions? Indeed identifying those who are focussed on the truth and set aside their own beliefs and ambitions is arguably remarkably hard to do.

Whatever, you’ve tried to give a useful response and I’m grateful for that, thank you. I’ll try to look at the link later and hope to find the content to be factual, unbiased and easy enough to understand.

Of course the EU needed to work for virtually the whole of society, or at least be seem to be better than the alternatives, so that would include folk with low / lower educational achievement too. My own straw poll indicates that it was the political and social influences that swung the vote. Of course - well in my opinion at least - the whole referendum mechanism was deeply flawed and the result was of insufficient substance to be acted on; so that that view doesn’t appear as ‘sour grapes’ I add that I voted to leave.

https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/re ... /cbp-7639/
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Re: Are you "Infected by a remainer mind virus"?

Post by Vorpal »

al_yrpal wrote: 23 Feb 2024, 10:24am Perhaps the rise of anti EU feeling is the result of Euro political red tape and a feeling of individual powerlessness? If it went back to just being simply a Common Market and ceased being an obviously incompetent unaccountable lumbering political nonentity perhaps more people would support it?

Al
The politicisation of EU policies, polarisation within member states, and the rise of populism give Eurosceptic parties an advantage. I think that folks see there should be some reform, and increased democratic accountability. that doesn't mean they are anti-EU. It just means that they want to elect people who will push for reform.
“In some ways, it is easier to be a dissident, for then one is without responsibility.”
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Jdsk
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Re: Are you "Infected by a remainer mind virus"?

Post by Jdsk »

Carlton green wrote: 23 Feb 2024, 10:42am ...
Whatever, you’ve tried to give a useful response and I’m grateful for that, thank you. I’ll try to look at the link later and hope to find the content to be factual, unbiased and easy enough to understand.
...
"Educational attainment and referendum voting: questions and connections":
https://ukandeu.ac.uk/educational-attai ... um-voting/

The underlying study is:
"Explaining the educational divide in electoral behaviour: testing direct and indirect effects from British elections and referendums 2016–2019"
https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10 ... ccess=true
and that cites the findings that need to be explained.

Jonathan
Jdsk
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Re: Are you "Infected by a remainer mind virus"?

Post by Jdsk »

Vorpal wrote: 23 Feb 2024, 10:54am
al_yrpal wrote: 23 Feb 2024, 10:24am Perhaps the rise of anti EU feeling is the result of Euro political red tape and a feeling of individual powerlessness? If it went back to just being simply a Common Market and ceased being an obviously incompetent unaccountable lumbering political nonentity perhaps more people would support it?
The politicisation of EU policies, polarisation within member states, and the rise of populism give Eurosceptic parties an advantage. I think that folks see there should be some reform, and increased democratic accountability. that doesn't mean they are anti-EU. It just means that they want to elect people who will push for reform.
And this is why it's important to ask people directly what they think about membership of the EU, as well as analysing how they vote in elections.

The YouGov findings upthread also include what people think about their own governments...

Jonathan
Carlton green
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Re: Are you "Infected by a remainer mind virus"?

Post by Carlton green »

Jdsk wrote: 23 Feb 2024, 11:00am
Vorpal wrote: 23 Feb 2024, 10:54am
al_yrpal wrote: 23 Feb 2024, 10:24am Perhaps the rise of anti EU feeling is the result of Euro political red tape and a feeling of individual powerlessness? If it went back to just being simply a Common Market and ceased being an obviously incompetent unaccountable lumbering political nonentity perhaps more people would support it?
The politicisation of EU policies, polarisation within member states, and the rise of populism give Eurosceptic parties an advantage. I think that folks see there should be some reform, and increased democratic accountability. that doesn't mean they are anti-EU. It just means that they want to elect people who will push for reform.
And this is why it's important to ask people directly what they think about membership of the EU, as well as analysing how they vote in elections.

The YouGov findings upthread also include what people think about their own governments...

Jonathan
I don’t think that asking people directly what they think goes far enough. To my mind at least people are lied to and mislead by others, that happens for the satisfaction of (the liar’s / liars’) personal and political aspirations. As I said above identifying those who are focussed on the truth and set aside their own beliefs and ambitions is arguably remarkably hard to do.
Don’t fret, it’s OK to: ride a simple old bike; ride slowly, walk, rest and admire the view; ride off-road; ride in your raincoat; ride by yourself; ride in the dark; and ride one hundred yards or one hundred miles. Your bike and your choices to suit you.
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al_yrpal
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Re: Are you "Infected by a remainer mind virus"?

Post by al_yrpal »

Remainders can believe this (because its in the Guardian!)....

‘Anti-European’ populists on track for big gains in EU elections, says report https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/ ... ays-report

Al
Reuse, recycle, thus do your bit to save the planet.... Get stuff at auctions, Dump, Charity Shops, Facebook Marketplace, Ebay, Car Boots. Choose an Old House, and a Banger ..... And cycle as often as you can......
francovendee
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Re: Are you "Infected by a remainer mind virus"?

Post by francovendee »

What will keep the EU together is looking across the Channel to see how leaving has worked out for the only leaver.
Not much of an encouragement is it.
pwa
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Re: Are you "Infected by a remainer mind virus"?

Post by pwa »

francovendee wrote: 24 Feb 2024, 8:39am What will keep the EU together is looking across the Channel to see how leaving has worked out for the only leaver.
Not much of an encouragement is it.
It isn't all that great within the EU at the moment, though, is it? Politically it looks very iffy in Hungary, Austria and Italy, and even the EU heartland of the Low Countries and France / Germany doesn't strike me as being as politically stable as it was twenty years ago. We live in uncertain times, whichever side of the Channel you are on. Okay, if you think a country's success is measured by GDP, the UK is certainly in the "could do better" bracket, but I don't measure success that way, or not on its own at least. I see a lot to be worried about within the EU. Don't you?

The way forward doesn't lie in endless wallowing in the Leave/Remain debate. It lies in new and creative approaches to cooperation between the Western democracies. Time to move on.
the snail
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Re: Are you "Infected by a remainer mind virus"?

Post by the snail »

pwa wrote: 24 Feb 2024, 11:12am
francovendee wrote: 24 Feb 2024, 8:39am I see a lot to be worried about within the EU. Don't you?

The way forward doesn't lie in endless wallowing in the Leave/Remain debate. It lies in new and creative approaches to cooperation between the Western democracies. Time to move on.
I'm not sure what you expect. The member states are democracies, and people parties go in and out of favour, economies go through difficult times. The question for member states is whether or not EU membership is benficial, and generally the answer is 'yes', and nobody is going to look at the UK and think leaving is a good idea.
People have moved on, we've done the 'leave' thing, time to move on and rejoin.
Carlton green
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Re: Are you "Infected by a remainer mind virus"?

Post by Carlton green »

The way forward doesn't lie in endless wallowing in the Leave/Remain debate. It lies in new and creative approaches to cooperation between the Western democracies. Time to move on.
Quite, though so many here don’t get that concept and have to endlessly drag up this topic. What’s done is done and there’s no point in crying over spilt milk, etc. Let’s hope for a change of Government (to Labour) and then an improved relationship with the EU.
the snail wrote: 24 Feb 2024, 11:31am
pwa wrote: 24 Feb 2024, 11:12am
francovendee wrote: 24 Feb 2024, 8:39am I see a lot to be worried about within the EU. Don't you?

The way forward doesn't lie in endless wallowing in the Leave/Remain debate. It lies in new and creative approaches to cooperation between the Western democracies. Time to move on.
I'm not sure what you expect. The member states are democracies, and people parties go in and out of favour, economies go through difficult times. The question for member states is whether or not EU membership is benficial, and generally the answer is 'yes', and nobody is going to look at the UK and think leaving is a good idea.
People have moved on, we've done the 'leave' thing, time to move on and rejoin.
The formatting or something on the above post seems out to me, easily done but still potentially misleading. Comments are misattributed.
Don’t fret, it’s OK to: ride a simple old bike; ride slowly, walk, rest and admire the view; ride off-road; ride in your raincoat; ride by yourself; ride in the dark; and ride one hundred yards or one hundred miles. Your bike and your choices to suit you.
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al_yrpal
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Re: Are you "Infected by a remainer mind virus"?

Post by al_yrpal »

If the EU went back to being simply a Common Market there would be a lot more support for it here in the UK. As it is its a faceless burocracy run by unelected and unaccountable appointees. It became something no one here voted for.

Al
Reuse, recycle, thus do your bit to save the planet.... Get stuff at auctions, Dump, Charity Shops, Facebook Marketplace, Ebay, Car Boots. Choose an Old House, and a Banger ..... And cycle as often as you can......
pwa
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Re: Are you "Infected by a remainer mind virus"?

Post by pwa »

The future is a place none of us can really see, but from where we are right now I would say that the UK is not re-joining the EU in the foreseeable. The EU wouldn't want the potential turmoil, and Parliament is very unlikely to want to re-ignite that debate when we have so many nuts-and-bolts issues to be getting on with. Maybe ten years from now the political climate will be sufficiently different for the nation to reconsider, but I doubt it. I suspect most people out there will be very content never to hear about it again.
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