Search found 2297 matches

by thelawnet
31 Mar 2020, 2:55pm
Forum: Does anyone know … ?
Topic: Covid19 - How far should we cycle each day?
Replies: 129
Views: 3034

Re: Covid19 - How far should we cycle each day?

I think all those pushing for or talking up exercise limits that will prevent us from optimising our fitness are essentially murderous unspeakables who should be first in line come the revolution - which will not be motorised! :twisted: If you want to ruin your own chances, then that's up to you, b...
by thelawnet
30 Mar 2020, 3:36pm
Forum: Does anyone know … ?
Topic: Cycling as an activity during the Covid 19 outbreak
Replies: 606
Views: 15517

Re: Cycling as an activity during the Covid 19 outbreak

Well not necessarily. I would be very interested to hear your alternative explanation. Well if everyone got infected to the maximum possible %, in certain areas, then it follows that restrictions were too late for those areas. Therefore if such areas exist, it would be instructive to look at their ...
by thelawnet
30 Mar 2020, 10:33am
Forum: Does anyone know … ?
Topic: Cycling as an activity during the Covid 19 outbreak
Replies: 606
Views: 15517

Re: Cycling as an activity during the Covid 19 outbreak

Ultimately there will be excess deaths, but where we expect annual deaths of 1% of population in Italy, I would be surprised ends up being as high as 1.5% for the year Yes, but only because of the measures taken against it. Well not necessarily. It won't be even close to that for Italy as a whole -...
by thelawnet
30 Mar 2020, 8:25am
Forum: Does anyone know … ?
Topic: Covid19 - How far should we cycle each day?
Replies: 129
Views: 3034

Re: Covid19 - How far should we cycle each day?

The government has stats on confirmed cases https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/covid-19-track-coronavirus-cases Essentially at this point London is utterly plague infested and if you live there you should probably stay there until it gets over it. Other areas have very few cases and may avoi...
by thelawnet
30 Mar 2020, 8:14am
Forum: Does anyone know … ?
Topic: Cycling as an activity during the Covid 19 outbreak
Replies: 606
Views: 15517

Re: Cycling as an activity during the Covid 19 outbreak

The point you are ignoring is that the growth stops, and has stopped in China and Korea, and will everywhere. Death statistics lag infections by 2 to 3 weeks so aren't that helpful in determining current growth. My guess is essentially it infected everyone in Lombardy it wa going to, and the price ...
by thelawnet
29 Mar 2020, 11:08am
Forum: Does anyone know … ?
Topic: Cycling as an activity during the Covid 19 outbreak
Replies: 606
Views: 15517

Re: Cycling as an activity during the Covid 19 outbreak

Growth is *currently* exponential. Obviously that can't go on infinitely. Recent data 27-28 March 6999 tests, of which 2510 (35.8%) positive 26-27 March 8911 tests, of which 2921 (32.8%) positive 25-26 March 7847 tests, of which 2129 (27.1%) positive 24-25 March 6583 tests, of which 1452 (22.1%) po...
by thelawnet
29 Mar 2020, 10:05am
Forum: Does anyone know … ?
Topic: Cycling as an activity during the Covid 19 outbreak
Replies: 606
Views: 15517

Re: Cycling as an activity during the Covid 19 outbreak

Growth is *currently* exponential. Obviously that can't go on infinitely. Recent data 27-28 March 6999 tests, of which 2510 (35.8%) positive 26-27 March 8911 tests, of which 2921 (32.8%) positive 25-26 March 7847 tests, of which 2129 (27.1%) positive 24-25 March 6583 tests, of which 1452 (22.1%) po...
by thelawnet
29 Mar 2020, 9:40am
Forum: Does anyone know … ?
Topic: Cycling as an activity during the Covid 19 outbreak
Replies: 606
Views: 15517

Re: Cycling as an activity during the Covid 19 outbreak

The growth rate isn’t actually exponential.... And, yet again, an unreferenced incorrect assertion. Exponential growth shows a straight line on a log plot. Here's the data. Again. It's exponential. In fact it is not. Viral growth typically follows either a logistic curve or a Gompertz curve (simila...
by thelawnet
28 Mar 2020, 1:55pm
Forum: Does anyone know … ?
Topic: Cycling as an activity during the Covid 19 outbreak
Replies: 606
Views: 15517

Re: Cycling as an activity during the Covid 19 outbreak

Stay at home Mick F, you've stated on here how you've not been well with your asthma most of the winter and now you're saying you'll be going out and telling the police what to do! It's been proven that if a person with the virus sneezes or coughs then an airborne droplet can survive for up to 3 ho...
by thelawnet
28 Mar 2020, 1:34pm
Forum: Does anyone know … ?
Topic: Cycling as an activity during the Covid 19 outbreak
Replies: 606
Views: 15517

Re: Cycling as an activity during the Covid 19 outbreak

As far as I'm concerned the only decent thing to do is not ride. If you have a bad crash you take away attention from Covid-19 sufferers who need it - and on a purely selfish note, hospitals are the best places to catch it. And if you're cocksure enough to think you won't crash, then, when you do, ...
by thelawnet
28 Mar 2020, 1:22pm
Forum: Does anyone know … ?
Topic: Cycling as an activity during the Covid 19 outbreak
Replies: 606
Views: 15517

Re: Cycling as an activity during the Covid 19 outbreak

The reason some of the Royal Parks are closing is because some cyclists have ignored distancing rules. Thanks, guys. https://www.cyclingweekly.com/news/latest-news/cyclists-now-banned-from-richmond-park-during-lockdown-452757 That does not in fact seem to be the reason and it is disappointing for m...
by thelawnet
27 Mar 2020, 6:19pm
Forum: Does anyone know … ?
Topic: Cycling as an activity during the Covid 19 outbreak
Replies: 606
Views: 15517

Re: Cycling as an activity during the Covid 19 outbreak

More clarification. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-52062209 But as the piece points out, it doesn't really settle the issue completely. Personally, if someone drives a couple of miles and finds a quieter place for exercise by doing that, I'm not going to shop them for it. Clarification about what is...
by thelawnet
27 Mar 2020, 12:13pm
Forum: Does anyone know … ?
Topic: Cycling as an activity during the Covid 19 outbreak
Replies: 606
Views: 15517

Re: Cycling as an activity during the Covid 19 outbreak

I anticipate that soon police will be dishing out the FPNs by the thousand. Most people won't know the law to argue their case, it will be a fantastic money earner for them. Funny how there are 'suddenly' enough Police to action all this........ Given their ambivelance to paperwork, will it really ...
by thelawnet
27 Mar 2020, 11:11am
Forum: Does anyone know … ?
Topic: Cycling as an activity during the Covid 19 outbreak
Replies: 606
Views: 15517

Re: Cycling as an activity during the Covid 19 outbreak

I anticipate that soon police will be dishing out the FPNs by the thousand. Most people won't know the law to argue their case, it will be a fantastic money earner for them.
by thelawnet
26 Mar 2020, 8:47pm
Forum: Does anyone know … ?
Topic: Cycling as an activity during the Covid 19 outbreak
Replies: 606
Views: 15517

Re: Cycling as an activity during the Covid 19 outbreak

The lycra matters no a bit, It's the group element that's so concerning, And the fact that they were supposedly from a club is shocking. Surely clubs have shut down all group activities. My running club has. Such crazy behaviour is putting our vunerable, elderly and hard working nurses and doctors ...