Search found 4631 matches

by irc
26 May 2020, 6:26pm
Forum: Bikes & Bits – Technical section
Topic: What's the oldest equipment you'll happily use?
Replies: 16
Views: 774

Re: What's the oldest equipment you'll happily use?

Going the other way I have no bike bits older than my 2008 Surly Trucker frame. Happy to use modern components compared to my first tourer, a 70s Peugeot 10 speed or my Raleigh Wayfarer before that. The Wayfarer handled well and could go anywhere but the 3 speed gears left much to be desired and wit...
by irc
15 May 2020, 9:39pm
Forum: The Tea Shop
Topic: Covid 19 outbreak - arguing about Stats (again)
Replies: 369
Views: 10027

Re: Covid 19 outbreak - arguing about Stats (again)

The vulnerable need to isolate while the young and healthy get back out and about until herd immunity along with track and trace eliminates the virus. Nearly there in London. Locking uo the healthy just prolongs the period of lockdown. Nearly there in London? Is track and trace working there then? ...
by irc
15 May 2020, 9:36pm
Forum: The Tea Shop
Topic: Covid 19 outbreak - arguing about Stats (again)
Replies: 369
Views: 10027

Re: Covid 19 outbreak - arguing about Stats (again)

What questions does it raise? To lift lockdown, they'd have to ban travel in and out, else the first case transported in would spread like wildfire and bring a second wave as bad as the first. Why would it? the first wave hits a virgin population. The second wave would hit a population where many w...
by irc
15 May 2020, 9:35pm
Forum: The Tea Shop
Topic: Covid 19 outbreak - arguing about Stats (again)
Replies: 369
Views: 10027

Re: Covid 19 outbreak - arguing about Stats (again)

This study estimates 29% of Britons may already have had Covid inwhich case we are well on the way tlo herd immunity. Too technical for me to have any opinion on it's accuracy but anyeway .... https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/ijcp.13528?af=R&utm_campaign=LNCH++20200514+++SM+CID_52...
by irc
15 May 2020, 9:28pm
Forum: The Tea Shop
Topic: Covid 19 outbreak - arguing about Stats (again)
Replies: 369
Views: 10027

Re: Covid 19 outbreak - arguing about Stats (again)

The 16% is significant but it's averaged over months before there were no cases, without lockdown, in the months going forward, it would be far far greater than 16%. As said already, the virus is widespread, how do you isolate the vulnerable, how do you isolate care homes, are their staff not allow...
by irc
15 May 2020, 8:03am
Forum: The Tea Shop
Topic: Covid 19 outbreak - arguing about Stats (again)
Replies: 369
Views: 10027

Re: Covid 19 outbreak - arguing about Stats (again)

Stats seem to show DEcember to May mortality is only slightly higher than previous recent years. A4-Deaths-All-Causes-Per-Million-England-Wales-During-Weeks-47-18s740.jpg Only slightly higher? I worked out the average of the first 9 bars to be 4449.4 so the bar for the 5 months up to the end of Apr...
by irc
14 May 2020, 10:24pm
Forum: The Tea Shop
Topic: Covid 19 outbreak - arguing about Stats (again)
Replies: 369
Views: 10027

Re: Covid 19 outbreak - arguing about Stats (again)

Stats seem to show DEcember to May mortality is only slightly higher than previous recent years.

A4-Deaths-All-Causes-Per-Million-England-Wales-During-Weeks-47-18s740.jpg
https://hectordrummond.com/2020/05/13/week-18-bar-graphs/
by irc
14 May 2020, 7:43pm
Forum: The Tea Shop
Topic: Covid 19 outbreak - arguing about Stats (again)
Replies: 369
Views: 10027

Re: Covid 19 outbreak - arguing about Stats (again)

However you missed out those dying at home in the thousands every single week, thousands dying in care/residential homes and hospitals when they had serious existing medical problems or suffered strokes and it's too late to do anything because the focus is on a threat that is being massively overly...
by irc
13 May 2020, 2:57pm
Forum: The Tea Shop
Topic: Covid 19 outbreak - arguing about Stats (again)
Replies: 369
Views: 10027

Re: Covid 19 outbreak - arguing about Stats (again)

Lots of sense in that post. Anecdotally GPs I work with doing house calls are finding patients with conditions where it is strongly advised they are admitted to hospital are refusing to go. Fear of Covid has been pushed so much that other serious conditions are not being treated optimally if at all....
by irc
8 May 2020, 6:24pm
Forum: The Tea Shop
Topic: Covid 19 outbreak - arguing about Stats (again)
Replies: 369
Views: 10027

Re: Covid 19 outbreak - arguing about Stats (again)

You wouldn't be criminalised. Which is exactly why the 'rules' were so vague. I'm not so sure. Police patrols turning drivers away from a reservoir near me popular with walkers. Walking distnce for me but other choosing to drive there from Glasgow for a walk are being turned away by the police. htt...
by irc
7 May 2020, 12:50pm
Forum: The Tea Shop
Topic: Covid 19 outbreak - arguing about Stats (again)
Replies: 369
Views: 10027

Re: Covid 19 outbreak - arguing about Stats (again)

Fine. I would support that. I support reaaonable measures. I don't support a blanket lockdown which makes me a criminal if I engage in a zero risk activity like driving a short distance and hillwalking alon e. Or exercising alone more than once a day. Etc, etc. Why do you have to go hillwalking? Th...
by irc
7 May 2020, 12:45pm
Forum: The Tea Shop
Topic: Covid 19 outbreak - arguing about Stats (again)
Replies: 369
Views: 10027

Re: Covid 19 outbreak - arguing about Stats (again)

Fine. I would support that. I support reaaonable measures. I don't support a blanket lockdown which makes me a criminal if I engage in a zero risk activity like driving a short distance and hillwalking alon e. Or exercising alone more than once a day. Etc, etc. Why do you have to go hillwalking? Th...
by irc
6 May 2020, 10:42pm
Forum: The Tea Shop
Topic: Covid 19 outbreak - arguing about Stats (again)
Replies: 369
Views: 10027

Re: Covid 19 outbreak - arguing about Stats (again)

Most of the big reductions in travel by bus, tube and rail happened BEFORE the compulsory lockdown.

transport-reduction.jpg


https://twitter.com/DouglasCarswell/sta ... 3261841408
by irc
6 May 2020, 8:50pm
Forum: The Tea Shop
Topic: Covid 19 outbreak - arguing about Stats (again)
Replies: 369
Views: 10027

Re: Covid 19 outbreak - arguing about Stats (again)

It has become clear that a hard lockdown does not protect old and frail people living in care homes—a population the lockdown was designed to protect.3 Neither does it decrease mortality from COVID-19, which is evident when comparing the UK's experience with that of other European countries. So say...
by irc
6 May 2020, 4:38pm
Forum: The Tea Shop
Topic: Covid 19 outbreak - arguing about Stats (again)
Replies: 369
Views: 10027

Re: Cycling as an activity during the Covid 19 outbreak

But Sweden has not been without measures. ......... They've done analysis, and found the Swedes are largely compliant with the recommendations, for example, not travelling in Easter, which they would normally do. Fine. I would support that. I support reaaonable measures. I don't support a blanket l...