Search found 836 matches

by Ellieb
23 Mar 2020, 9:16pm
Forum: The Tea Shop
Topic: Coronavirus (aka COVID-19) - just how serious?
Replies: 2697
Views: 51968

Re: Coronavirus (aka COVID-19) - just how serious?

The more people who comply with the instructions, the fewer people die. It’s quite simple. I'm pretty confident that running/cycling in places where there are no other people doesn't propagate the virus. I'll be out for my usual lunch time run tomoz. Interestingly apparently domestic violence is bo...
by Ellieb
23 Mar 2020, 9:04pm
Forum: The Tea Shop
Topic: Coronavirus (aka COVID-19) - just how serious?
Replies: 2697
Views: 51968

Re: Coronavirus (aka COVID-19) - just how serious?

Worldometer has the UK having 20 critical cases at the moment (the UK has 4000 ICU beds). If anyone can sort these statistics out I would be grateful:

That 20 figure has been the same for well over a week. They just aren't updating it for the UK
by Ellieb
23 Mar 2020, 8:53pm
Forum: The Tea Shop
Topic: Coronavirus (aka COVID-19) - just how serious?
Replies: 2697
Views: 51968

Re: Coronavirus (aka COVID-19) - just how serious?

How will they know you've only had one? https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-52012432 Nothing in there about about how they'd know you'd only had one form of exercise... I might go for a run then get the bike out - that's the sort of rebel I am. The more people who comply with the instructions, the fewer ...
by Ellieb
23 Mar 2020, 6:05pm
Forum: The Tea Shop
Topic: Coronavirus (aka COVID-19) - just how serious?
Replies: 2697
Views: 51968

Re: Coronavirus (aka COVID-19) - just how serious?

If certain posters were actively suggesting that a couple of hundred thousand of our fellow citizens should be shot dead, would you allow that as 'freedom of speech'? Granted they aren't actively proposing murder, but the end result: Lots of dead people, will be just the same. In a crisis like this ...
by Ellieb
23 Mar 2020, 5:48pm
Forum: The Tea Shop
Topic: Coronavirus (aka COVID-19) - just how serious?
Replies: 2697
Views: 51968

Re: Coronavirus (aka COVID-19) - just how serious?

https://media1.tenor.com/images/e90a35c4ff08f6a395aef2e544b5f026/tenor.gif?itemid=5064454
Some people on here at the moment
Or indeed certain people virtually all the time.
by Ellieb
21 Mar 2020, 5:36pm
Forum: The Tea Shop
Topic: Coronavirus (aka COVID-19) - just how serious?
Replies: 2697
Views: 51968

Re: Coronavirus (aka COVID-19) - just how serious?

That's not new cases weekly though, that's accumulated numbers over the whole period which is a terribly inaccurate and misrepresents the infection rate, so of course the rate will increase because they are adding the total cases up :roll: Italy had 5.5M flu cases reported on average over a 5 year ...
by Ellieb
21 Mar 2020, 5:03pm
Forum: The Tea Shop
Topic: Coronavirus (aka COVID-19) - just how serious?
Replies: 2697
Views: 51968

Re: Coronavirus (aka COVID-19) - just how serious?

reported Influenza infection rate has increased substantially in less than 2 weeks https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/weekly-national-flu-reports-2019-to-2020-season it was 9.3/100k in week 9, now 27 cases per 100k in Scotland, back up to 14.6 new cases per 100k in England, thats 8176 NEW rep...
by Ellieb
20 Mar 2020, 5:25pm
Forum: The Tea Shop
Topic: Coronavirus (aka COVID-19) - just how serious?
Replies: 2697
Views: 51968

Re: Coronavirus (aka COVID-19) - just how serious?

As I said, at the low end 20,000 - thank you for confirming my numbers. "optimism" and "pessimism" are very relevant in terms of outcome. One can be optimistic that e.g. politicians will make sensible and timely decisions and people will follow the guidance and we'll be at the l...
by Ellieb
20 Mar 2020, 5:14pm
Forum: The Tea Shop
Topic: Coronavirus (aka COVID-19) - just how serious?
Replies: 2697
Views: 51968

Re: Coronavirus (aka COVID-19) - just how serious?

The particular point I want to make is that (elsewhere on the CUK forum) we’ve been calling out individual selfish behaviour by others forever - it might feel good to vent annoyance, but is it an approach that changes anything? Absolutely yes, which is why I am doing it. Evidence from abroad is tha...
by Ellieb
20 Mar 2020, 3:11pm
Forum: The Tea Shop
Topic: Coronavirus (aka COVID-19) - just how serious?
Replies: 2697
Views: 51968

Re: Coronavirus (aka COVID-19) - just how serious?

If someone believes in a Flat Earth I will leave them alone with their opinion. I won't 'respect' it because their belief has no rational or scientific merit. However, if that belief were to lead to hundreds of thousands of deaths then I am sorry, I'm not going let uninformed, deluded 'opinion' pass...
by Ellieb
20 Mar 2020, 1:29pm
Forum: The Tea Shop
Topic: Coronavirus (aka COVID-19) - just how serious?
Replies: 2697
Views: 51968

Re: Coronavirus (aka COVID-19) - just how serious?

One thing this crisis has made abundantly clear is that we haven't got a hope in hell preventing climate change. The number of people trying to deny/ignore something which is as obvious as this epidemic is staggering. Their mixture of arrogance, stupidity and willingness to latch on to any 'fact' t...
by Ellieb
20 Mar 2020, 12:59pm
Forum: The Tea Shop
Topic: Coronavirus (aka COVID-19) - just how serious?
Replies: 2697
Views: 51968

Re: Coronavirus (aka COVID-19) - just how serious?

One thing this crisis has made abundantly clear is that we haven't got a hope in hell preventing climate change. The number of people trying to deny/ignore something which is as obvious as this epidemic is staggering. Their mixture of arrogance, stupidity and willingness to latch on to any 'fact' th...
by Ellieb
19 Mar 2020, 10:31pm
Forum: The Tea Shop
Topic: Coronavirus (aka COVID-19) - just how serious?
Replies: 2697
Views: 51968

Re: Coronavirus (aka COVID-19) - just how serious?

Well given those stats are up until 29th Feb & the first death in the uk didn’t take place until 5th March, I suspect not Indeed. That deaths predicted for the future have not yet happened doesn't seem to be a great rebuttal, does it? Still, deniers must deny, I suppose. what you say maybe true...
by Ellieb
19 Mar 2020, 10:09pm
Forum: The Tea Shop
Topic: Coronavirus (aka COVID-19) - just how serious?
Replies: 2697
Views: 51968

Re: Coronavirus (aka COVID-19) - just how serious?

horizon wrote:So fewer deaths from respiratory illness this year. Does that include covid19?

Well given those stats are up until 29th Feb & the first death in the uk didn’t take place until 5th March, I suspect not
by Ellieb
19 Mar 2020, 8:39pm
Forum: The Tea Shop
Topic: Coronavirus (aka COVID-19) - just how serious?
Replies: 2697
Views: 51968

Re: Coronavirus (aka COVID-19) - just how serious?

Are you saying that the number of deaths is much higher than being reported (e.g. to quell public alarm) or that they are all in one place (e.g. Bergamo)? No. I am saying that the Italian Health service is by all accounts, overwhelmed by what is going on. In China, they built an overflow hospital i...