Logic does not really dictate that a new party with 5 MP's to date will match the performance of long-established parties with a history of forming governments when it comes to fielding electable candidates. (I agree that it could and might happen, but so far neither evidence nor logic demonstrate that it will). Both Labour and Conservative parties have lost councillors often enough in the past without it affecting their ability to win elections. Reform have not yet demonstrated the same resilience.pete75 wrote: ↑12 Jan 2025, 9:15pm
..... If that logic holds true for Reform then it holds true for any other party.
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- 13 Jan 2025, 11:28am
- Forum: The Tea Shop
- Topic: UK Politics
- Replies: 3381
- Views: 232094
Re: UK Politics
- 12 Jan 2025, 6:44pm
- Forum: Does anyone know … ?
- Topic: Do we really understand what’s happening to the cycle trade?
- Replies: 453
- Views: 117576
Re: Do we really understand what’s happening to the cycle trade?
If you're using fairly large tyres, then removing and installing them uninflated is often possible without touching the guard, by simply squeezing the tyres to the rim as you do so. I've had two bikes I could do that with, it's not ideal, but neither is it any big deal.
Maybe time to start a new thread? This is having less and less to do with the cycle trade.
- 12 Jan 2025, 1:14pm
- Forum: The Tea Shop
- Topic: Are potential contributors to this forum afraid that their views are unacceptable?
- Replies: 112
- Views: 21958
Re: Are potential contributors to this forum afraid that their views are unacceptable?
Only 7% of domestic violence victims are men.Carlton green wrote: ↑12 Jan 2025, 10:39am Misuse of other people is neither a man issue or race issue, it’s a people issue. Domestic violence against men happens as does other abuse too.
82% of CSE perpetrators are men.Do women ever groom men? If you look a little and question then you’ll see that, if to a much lesser scale and less obvious way, it happens.
It's a male problem.
Interestingly, despite all the media furore about "Grooming gangs", group-based CSE only accounts for 5% of all CSE, and that 5% includes perpetrators of all ethnicities.
- 12 Jan 2025, 10:39am
- Forum: The Tea Shop
- Topic: Are potential contributors to this forum afraid that their views are unacceptable?
- Replies: 112
- Views: 21958
Re: Are potential contributors to this forum afraid that their views are unacceptable?
Political parties do cherry pick and we really do need to be aware of it, they also tend to deny truths too and that enables others to - for their own advantage - expose hypocrisy.
Misuse of other people is neither a man issue or race issue, it’s a people issue. Domestic violence against men happens as does other abuse too. Do women ever groom men? If you look a little and question then you’ll see that, if to a much lesser scale and less obvious way, it happens.
As an aside make your own judgements or not on this: https://www.talentedladiesclub.com/arti ... -industry/
People are abused in many ways and to focus on sexual exploitation misses a much bigger picture, perhaps that’s a political force using distract and divert tactics?
- 11 Jan 2025, 1:09pm
- Forum: The Tea Shop
- Topic: Windows 10 users after 14 October 2025
- Replies: 41
- Views: 16333
Re: Windows 10 users after 14 October 2025
When I read my post (above) through before submitting it, I must have read what I intended to say rather than what I'd actually said. I should have used the word 'replace' instead to make it read as below:
And what will I replace them with? Almost certainly some cheap, new, computers with Win 11 on them. I could **** around with my old machines, and possibly put a different operating system on them, but when you put a cost to the time involved it's probably cheaper to go down the Win 11 route
- 10 Jan 2025, 10:51pm
- Forum: The Tea Shop
- Topic: Windows 10 users after 14 October 2025
- Replies: 41
- Views: 16333
- 10 Jan 2025, 2:35pm
- Forum: The Tea Shop
- Topic: Windows 10 users after 14 October 2025
- Replies: 41
- Views: 16333
Re: Windows 10 users after 14 October 2025
I sent 32 years working in the IT industry and, amazingly, met many customers running out of date operating systems on business machines connected to the internet and the rest of their network; and I'm fairly sure that a lot of their employees spent their lunch times buying stuff on them. Did I hear of massive problems with viruses and ransomware on these out of date machines? No. If the machines had good anti-virus and firewalls, that were kept up to date, then even though it wasn't recommendable it wasn't the disaster-in-waiting that some people suggested.Paul Smith SRCC wrote: ↑10 Jan 2025, 9:53am My initial thought is ideally still use W10 for the safer online browsing and apps, then, when I want to do something like online banking I would use the alternatives run off a USB as I have been doing to at least feel more secure.
It comes back to most of the recommendations I read reference no longer using W10 after 10/25, yet I know of some still using W8, W7, Vista and even XP, all online, yes they may be unsupported and have been for sometime, but just how vulnerable is vulnerable? With this in mind I am thinking just how vulnerable will W10 be, they are still going to do Windows defender updates, my laptop and router have firewalls, just how viable is my theory of still using W10 in a limited way?
Your computer won't suddenly become vulnerable to everything out there on the 1st November, but over time you will have progressively less protection and more risk. I have 2 computers, neither of which are good enough to upgrade to Windows 11. I will be upgrading them, but will probably only upgrade 1 this year. If your computer is backed up regularly, as it should be, and you don't buy things or look at things like your bank, or have sensitive data on your computer, then there is no reason why you can't use it for several years.
- 7 Jan 2025, 4:32pm
- Forum: Non-standard, Human Powered Vehicles
- Topic: Kettwiesel e-assist question
- Replies: 10
- Views: 6542
Re: Kettwiesel e-assist question
I put an e-bike kit (Yosepower) on my standard cycle and tried it without the brake cut-offs for a few days before deciding whether to order the necessary bits for my hydraulic brakes. My motor (cadence sensor) cuts out just under 2 seconds after I stop pedaling.
I decided to go ahead and get the kit while crossing a road on a pedestrian/cycle crossing. I had to turn the pedals to get over the camber and across the road before impatient cars started hassling me, which meant my motor sprang into life just as I was braking to slow my speed enough to take the 90 degree turn onto the cycle path on the pavement on the other side. It was fine, my brakes could hold the motor back, and it cut out by itself a second or two later, but it was enough to make it feel wrong, and I assume it's neither good for the motor nor the brakes if both are used at the same time.
With the brake kit the motor cuts out immediately, and I set up my brakes so a slight squeeze is enough to stop the motor without the brake blocks biting the rims so I can quickly cut the motor without needing to actually brake, eg when coming up to a give way junction.
So, in short, less than 2 seconds for the motor to turn off doesn't sound much, but it can feel like a lot when you're negotiating junctions and the like.
I decided to go ahead and get the kit while crossing a road on a pedestrian/cycle crossing. I had to turn the pedals to get over the camber and across the road before impatient cars started hassling me, which meant my motor sprang into life just as I was braking to slow my speed enough to take the 90 degree turn onto the cycle path on the pavement on the other side. It was fine, my brakes could hold the motor back, and it cut out by itself a second or two later, but it was enough to make it feel wrong, and I assume it's neither good for the motor nor the brakes if both are used at the same time.
With the brake kit the motor cuts out immediately, and I set up my brakes so a slight squeeze is enough to stop the motor without the brake blocks biting the rims so I can quickly cut the motor without needing to actually brake, eg when coming up to a give way junction.
So, in short, less than 2 seconds for the motor to turn off doesn't sound much, but it can feel like a lot when you're negotiating junctions and the like.
- 5 Jan 2025, 9:13am
- Forum: The Tea Shop
- Topic: Trade: positive or negative for the UK?
- Replies: 20
- Views: 5716
Re: Trade: positive or negative for the UK?
It's hard to respond to all of these together, so a few brief observations:
Firstly, trade is always, in basic economic terms, good for *both* parties. Exports and imports *both* improve our prosperity.
Secondly, trade has always been hugely important, as far back as archaeology can go. The Silk Road was named for good reason.
Thirdly, industries come and go surprisingly quickly throughout industrial history. The failure of industries is not in any way new or novel. Neither is it obvious that the UK is an automatic home for particular pursuits; Manchester was built on cotton, a crop not even cultivated in the UK.
Fourthly, trade is highly correlated with prosperity, and suppressing trade will drive poverty up. The Corn Laws are the UK poster child, and you won't find a relatively closed economy in the world today which is thriving. North Korea comes closest to a truly closed economy.
Firstly, trade is always, in basic economic terms, good for *both* parties. Exports and imports *both* improve our prosperity.
Secondly, trade has always been hugely important, as far back as archaeology can go. The Silk Road was named for good reason.
Thirdly, industries come and go surprisingly quickly throughout industrial history. The failure of industries is not in any way new or novel. Neither is it obvious that the UK is an automatic home for particular pursuits; Manchester was built on cotton, a crop not even cultivated in the UK.
Fourthly, trade is highly correlated with prosperity, and suppressing trade will drive poverty up. The Corn Laws are the UK poster child, and you won't find a relatively closed economy in the world today which is thriving. North Korea comes closest to a truly closed economy.
- 2 Jan 2025, 2:53pm
- Forum: Bikes & Bits – Technical section
- Topic: Frame failure: Idle speculation on root cause
- Replies: 43
- Views: 5134
Re: Frame failure: Idle speculation on root cause
I don't have measurements, but here's a pic. I'm 6'4 for sizing.alexnharvey wrote: ↑2 Jan 2025, 2:42pm Am I right in thinking that the top tube is continuous, while the seat tube is in two parts, top and bottom, each brazed to the TT? I am neither engineer nor framebuilder but it seems like doing it the other way, so that you have a continuous seat tube, would be stronger overall.
How much did the seat post extend below the top tube when inserted and was it a good fit into the lower section?
How big is the frame? What is the configuration of other bracing tubes on the frame?
In think the top tube is continuous, but I'm not 100% sure.
I don't have the seat post any more, but the one in our new tandem is longer!
- 2 Jan 2025, 2:42pm
- Forum: Bikes & Bits – Technical section
- Topic: Frame failure: Idle speculation on root cause
- Replies: 43
- Views: 5134
Re: Frame failure: Idle speculation on root cause
Am I right in thinking that the top tube is continuous, while the seat tube is in two parts, top and bottom, each brazed to the TT? I am neither engineer nor framebuilder but it seems like doing it the other way, so that you have a continuous seat tube, would be stronger overall.
How much did the seat post extend below the top tube when inserted and was it a good fit into the lower section?
How big is the frame? What is the configuration of other bracing tubes on the frame?
How much did the seat post extend below the top tube when inserted and was it a good fit into the lower section?
How big is the frame? What is the configuration of other bracing tubes on the frame?
- 30 Dec 2024, 11:08am
- Forum: Does anyone know … ?
- Topic: Small wheel groups / knowledge centres
- Replies: 43
- Views: 10653
Re: Small wheel groups / knowledge centres
The converse also applies. If you put questions in ghettos, you limit the responses. Adjustment of derailleurs (except on Bromptons) or replacement of chainsets, for example, are not greatly different just because the bike is a folder. A lot can be achieved just by using clear titles. "Moulton gearing issue" will get responses both from people who know about Moultons and from people who know about gearing, in a general forum. Of course, "Help me with my problem" may get neither in any forum!
- 29 Dec 2024, 11:08am
- Forum: Bikes & Bits – Technical section
- Topic: Fork. rotating too easily
- Replies: 115
- Views: 16616
Re: Fork. rotating too easily
Sorry for multiple thread posts, but literally couple of minutes ago, suddenly dawned on me ? Would seem highly likely that there's probably been an inherent problem with the forks and who knows, frame (Head tube), since the start. It's obvious in retrospect ?
- Frame / forks are only 8yr 's old
- Both have done an absolute fraction of the mileage I've done on 3 out of the 4 other modern bicycles I've owned/cycled on.
- 2 No. of which did a huge mileage whilst heavily loaded, neither the full alloy, nor the alloy/carbon forked bike ever having an issue with headsets, the carbon forked bike doing 15 months with both heavily loaded Rr and Front racks/panniers.
- The Spa will have done perhaps 2 months loaded for long weekends away, have never toured whilst heavily loaded, have never had a front rack used on the Spa, it's never been used for daily / heavy commuting, with heavily loaded rear rack
But the Spa is the only bicycle I've ever had a headset issue with. Myself & cash were extraordinarily tight when had the original headset replaced, after just a few years use. I didn't spend a £ on my first ever use of a bicycle maintenance place, without good reason
On reflection, it's obvious there must be some inherent fault, probably with the forks ? I've not once ever, had to replace a headset, on any other bike, 3 or 4 which have done multiple times the mileage
Took me a while to work it out, must be an inherent fault in the fork. there's no other explanation for headsets failing and/or, even the post 31 mile ride on a flat tyre, resulting in such a change to the bikes handling. No "fault" has ever been spotted, forks have been looked at in depth by myself and bicycle repairer recently. Must be some inherent fault somewhere, causing these issues, an emergency ride on a flat tyre, increasing them further
- Frame / forks are only 8yr 's old
- Both have done an absolute fraction of the mileage I've done on 3 out of the 4 other modern bicycles I've owned/cycled on.
- 2 No. of which did a huge mileage whilst heavily loaded, neither the full alloy, nor the alloy/carbon forked bike ever having an issue with headsets, the carbon forked bike doing 15 months with both heavily loaded Rr and Front racks/panniers.
- The Spa will have done perhaps 2 months loaded for long weekends away, have never toured whilst heavily loaded, have never had a front rack used on the Spa, it's never been used for daily / heavy commuting, with heavily loaded rear rack
But the Spa is the only bicycle I've ever had a headset issue with. Myself & cash were extraordinarily tight when had the original headset replaced, after just a few years use. I didn't spend a £ on my first ever use of a bicycle maintenance place, without good reason
On reflection, it's obvious there must be some inherent fault, probably with the forks ? I've not once ever, had to replace a headset, on any other bike, 3 or 4 which have done multiple times the mileage
Took me a while to work it out, must be an inherent fault in the fork. there's no other explanation for headsets failing and/or, even the post 31 mile ride on a flat tyre, resulting in such a change to the bikes handling. No "fault" has ever been spotted, forks have been looked at in depth by myself and bicycle repairer recently. Must be some inherent fault somewhere, causing these issues, an emergency ride on a flat tyre, increasing them further
- 28 Dec 2024, 3:13pm
- Forum: Does anyone know … ?
- Topic: How do I get bike back from distant bikeshop ignoring me.. PLEASE HELP!
- Replies: 33
- Views: 8359
Re: How do I get bike back from distant bikeshop ignoring me.. PLEASE HELP!
Lots of negative reviews for Ellis Briggs on Google.Cyclewala wrote: ↑28 Dec 2024, 12:38am
Neither sound like they would provide the bad service described above.
You keep referring to an individual rather than a business, which makes me think you might be dealing with a lone frame builder in Keighley (8 miles away). If so, I’ve got his mobile number.
Pls PM me if you need further help,
- 28 Dec 2024, 12:38am
- Forum: Does anyone know … ?
- Topic: How do I get bike back from distant bikeshop ignoring me.. PLEASE HELP!
- Replies: 33
- Views: 8359
Re: How do I get bike back from distant bikeshop ignoring me.. PLEASE HELP!
Hi OP, just seen this. I’m in Shipley.
The two well known shops in Shipley (All Terrain and Ellis Briggs) are still trading though EB are open reduced hours and fewer days.
Neither sound like they would provide the bad service described above.
You keep referring to an individual rather than a business, which makes me think you might be dealing with a lone frame builder in Keighley (8 miles away). If so, I’ve got his mobile number.
Pls PM me if you need further help,
The two well known shops in Shipley (All Terrain and Ellis Briggs) are still trading though EB are open reduced hours and fewer days.
Neither sound like they would provide the bad service described above.
You keep referring to an individual rather than a business, which makes me think you might be dealing with a lone frame builder in Keighley (8 miles away). If so, I’ve got his mobile number.
Pls PM me if you need further help,