Time to ignore the forecast!

General cycling advice ( NOT technical ! )
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Mick F
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Joined: 7 Jan 2007, 11:24am
Location: Tamar Valley, Cornwall

Re: Time to ignore the forecast!

Postby Mick F » 8 Jun 2019, 8:51am

Ancient Chinese proverb:

Man with one weather forecast knows what the weather will be.
Man with three weather forecasts is never sure.
Mick F. Cornwall

Gearoidmuar
Posts: 2167
Joined: 29 Sep 2007, 7:35pm
Location: Cork, Ireland. Corcaigh, Éire má tá Gaeilge agat.

Re: Time to ignore the forecast!

Postby Gearoidmuar » 8 Jun 2019, 8:58am

Sometimes your luck is in. My youngest daughter got married about 6y ago. The weather forecast was appalling. Wedding was scheduled for 3oc. At 2.30 the sun came out where the wedding was and the weather was lovely for the rest of the day. Everywhere else in Ireland it was apocalyptic except in this one small area..
If you knew her though and you were the weather, you'd be afraid to rain on her wedding day!

Brucey
Posts: 35617
Joined: 4 Jan 2012, 6:25pm

Re: Time to ignore the forecast!

Postby Brucey » 8 Jun 2019, 9:16am

generally speaking if rain is forecast and doesn't happen, folk are less upset than if it is the other way round. This counts double on a bank holiday weekend. So weather forecasts often tend to be slightly pessimistic.

Note also that anytime they forecast 'showers', it means by definition they don't know exactly where they will happen.

These days, if in doubt, I check the local rainfall radar before going out on the bike; except for things like showers 'bubbling up' unexpectedly, you can usually be reasonably sure of the weather for the next couple of hours.

This site is handy;

http://www.southamptonweather.co.uk/rainradar.php

you can scroll (to more of the UK) and zoom on the lower two maps.

cheers
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~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~Brucey~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

pwa
Posts: 10286
Joined: 2 Oct 2011, 8:55pm

Re: Time to ignore the forecast!

Postby pwa » 8 Jun 2019, 9:21am

The sports field in my village is the venue for the Village Fete this afternoon. The forecast is decent. But the organisers must have taken their eyes off the forecasts yesterday when they erected numerous tents / gazebos and tables, most of which were uprooted and taken to one corner of the field by the overnight gales. They are dragging it all back now.

PDQ Mobile
Posts: 2917
Joined: 2 Aug 2015, 4:40pm

Re: Time to ignore the forecast!

Postby PDQ Mobile » 8 Jun 2019, 10:39am

Gearoidmuar wrote:If you knew her though and you were the weather, you'd be afraid to rain on her wedding day!

:D