Covid 19 outbreak - arguing about Stats (again)

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Jdsk
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Re: Covid 19 outbreak - arguing about Stats (again)

Postby Jdsk » 30 Nov 2020, 9:49pm

kwackers wrote:I tend to rely on New Scientist for my info, it has less sensationalism and more common sense than the rags.
People could be forgiven for thinking that everything is up in the air yet when you read through the articles in NS from the very start nothing much has changed.
The overall consensus remains the same and what was predicted by the scientists back then pretty much came to pass as written.

Yes, NS has done very well.

And, yes, this has turned out very much as predicted. Many of the sneering attacks on the modellers turn to dust when investigated.

Jonathan

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[XAP]Bob
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Re: Covid 19 outbreak - arguing about Stats (again)

Postby [XAP]Bob » 30 Nov 2020, 11:39pm

roubaixtuesday wrote:He's allowed to for work.


He wouldn't know what work was if he walked into it.
A shortcut has to be a challenge, otherwise it would just be the way. No situation is so dire that panic cannot make it worse.
There are two kinds of people in this world: those can extrapolate from incomplete data.

Oldjohnw
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Re: Covid 19 outbreak - arguing about Stats (again)

Postby Oldjohnw » 1 Dec 2020, 6:19pm

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/ ... dApp_Other


75,000 deaths. Almost twice that of the Blitz.
John

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Re: Covid 19 outbreak - arguing about Stats (again)

Postby Vorpal » 2 Dec 2020, 12:03pm

Posts about the vaccine have been moved to viewtopic.php?f=49&t=142212&start=300
“In some ways, it is easier to be a dissident, for then one is without responsibility.”
― Nelson Mandela, Long Walk to Freedom

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Mick F
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Re: Covid 19 outbreak - arguing about Stats (again)

Postby Mick F » 2 Dec 2020, 3:19pm

Me and Sailor the Doggie have done six miles today.
Walked along the river to Chilsworthy to the White Hart and arrived just as they were opening at noon ........................ and just as BBC Spotlight were there too.

Me and another chap were first in, and Sailor too, and we were interviewed by Spotlight. Amy and the staff were interviewed as well.

I had a couple of pints there, then me and Sailor walked back along the river and called in at the Rising Sun.
It appears that a someone in the Riser had already seen the lunchtime edition of the Spotlight programme, and remarked that they'd seen us! :D

We don't have a telly, so I can't see what's been broadcast.
Mick F. Cornwall

Jdsk
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Re: Covid 19 outbreak - arguing about Stats (again)

Postby Jdsk » 2 Dec 2020, 3:21pm

I think it was the manager of the White Hart who was on BBC R4 The World at One today.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/m000py9c

Jonathan

PS: BBC stories are now immediately centralised so that they can be used across channels and programmes.

thirdcrank
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Re: Covid 19 outbreak - arguing about Stats (again)

Postby thirdcrank » 2 Dec 2020, 3:35pm

Mick F wrote:Me and Sailor the Doggie have done six miles today.
Walked along the river to Chilsworthy to the White Hart and arrived just as they were opening at noon ........................ and just as BBC Spotlight were there too.

Me and another chap were first in, and Sailor too, and we were interviewed by Spotlight. Amy and the staff were interviewed as well.

I had a couple of pints there, then me and Sailor walked back along the river and called in at the Rising Sun.
It appears that a someone in the Riser had already seen the lunchtime edition of the Spotlight programme, and remarked that they'd seen us! :D

We don't have a telly, so I can't see what's been broadcast.


I hope anything you said to camera was better informed than your earlier post about people from Devon not being allowed into Cornwall.

Otherwise, that's how urban myths gain traction, as we trendy people say.

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Mick F
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Re: Covid 19 outbreak - arguing about Stats (again)

Postby Mick F » 2 Dec 2020, 3:46pm

TC .................... I have more to say on this subject, but I don't want to be quoted so I protect people I know, so I'll say nowt for now.
What I have to say, is very relevant to your post.
Mick F. Cornwall

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Mick F
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Re: Covid 19 outbreak - arguing about Stats (again)

Postby Mick F » 2 Dec 2020, 3:54pm

This is the post you refer to?
Mick F wrote:So .....................
People in Devon mustn't come across the river to drink in our pubs.
Sorry, but I should have said ONLY drink in or pubs .................... instead of eating and drinking in our pubs.

Been into two today and had two pints in each and NO FOOD and it wasn't required either.
People from Devon would need to eat as well as drink.
Mick F. Cornwall

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Mick F
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Re: Covid 19 outbreak - arguing about Stats (again)

Postby Mick F » 2 Dec 2020, 4:21pm

Jdsk wrote:I think it was the manager of the White Hart who was on BBC R4 The World at One today.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/m000py9c
Just listened to it.

Relevant bit is from 33mins in.
Ian gave a good account.

No mention of me and Sailor though! :wink:
Mick F. Cornwall

Jdsk
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Re: Covid 19 outbreak - arguing about Stats (again)

Postby Jdsk » 11 Dec 2020, 3:18pm

National Audit Office: "The government’s approach to test and trace in England – interim report":
https://www.nao.org.uk/report/the-governments-approach-to-test-and-trace-in-england-interim-report/?slide=1

Jonathan