Page 2 of 2

Re: RISK COMPENSATION

Posted: 22 Dec 2010, 6:04pm
by Mike Sales
admin wrote:
Risk compensation, as described so well my Adams, is alive and well on the roads. Ride an "ordinary" bicycle, and I am constantly being passed too close for comfort, with car drivers giving very little thought to how they're passing me. Riding my "dangerous" Windcheetah recumbent trike I find that car drivers suddenly have great respect for me, taking care when passing and giving me lots of room. The trick for cycling is to look as "dangerous" and as unusual as possible. Just towing a trailer helps :)


I think the implications of Risk Compensation are much more extensive than that. It casts in doubt the whole Road Safety industry method. Crash proofing cars and roads has produced an environment more and more dangerous for the vulnerable. Cycle accident rates have only been kept down by risk compensation by cyclists. More and more actual and prospective cyclists compensate for increased risk by removing themselves from the road. Those remaining take more and more care, choose quieter roads etc. The movement towards wearing helmets is an example. In the face of invulnerable drivers and the unwillingness of police and CPS to protect us, a scrap of polystyrene is not quite enough compensation.

Re: RISK COMPENSATION

Posted: 22 Dec 2010, 6:19pm
by kwackers
Wear dark clothing and no lights, dart on and off pavements.
I'd be willing to bet risk compensation will keep them well out of your way. :twisted:

Re: RISK COMPENSATION

Posted: 22 Dec 2010, 6:54pm
by drossall
There's some statistical evidence that it does. Accident rates to unlit cyclists are surprisingly low, as are numbers of accidents where cyclists are held at fault. It may be that "dangerous" cycling creates enough irritation to draw attention, and thus outweigh the obvious risks of lack of lights, or poor riding style.

But I'm not going to try it myself yet...

Re: RISK COMPENSATION

Posted: 22 Dec 2010, 6:55pm
by drossall
admin wrote:Just towing a trailer helps :)

Or ride a trike. You aren't really any wider because your shoulder width is the same. You'll get more space though...

Re: RISK COMPENSATION

Posted: 22 Dec 2010, 7:16pm
by Mike Sales
kwackers wrote:Wear dark clothing and no lights, dart on and off pavements.
I'd be willing to bet risk compensation will keep them well out of your way. :twisted:


I don't understand what point you are making here, sorry.

Re: RISK COMPENSATION

Posted: 22 Dec 2010, 7:58pm
by drossall
I think he was being sarcastic.

Re: RISK COMPENSATION

Posted: 22 Dec 2010, 8:10pm
by Mike Sales
Mike Sales wrote:
kwackers wrote:Wear dark clothing and no lights, dart on and off pavements.
I'd be willing to bet risk compensation will keep them well out of your way. :twisted:


I don't understand what point you are making here, sorry.

drossall wrote:I think he was being sarcastic.


I guessed that he was. I may be humourless, but I thought there might be some point he was contributing.

Re: RISK COMPENSATION

Posted: 22 Dec 2010, 8:15pm
by SilverBadge
admin wrote:Risk compensation, as described so well my Adams, is alive and well on the roads. Ride an "ordinary" bicycle, and I am constantly being passed too close for comfort, with car drivers giving very little thought to how they're passing me. Riding my "dangerous" Windcheetah recumbent trike I find that car drivers suddenly have great respect for me, taking care when passing and giving me lots of room. The trick for cycling is to look as "dangerous" and as unusual as possible. Just towing a trailer helps :)
I would guess that you are so low that you disappear during the overtaking manoeuvre and as such motorists have to guess how much space to give you, therefore you get a lot. Normal bicycle is visible throughout and thus you get "What are you complaining about - I didn't hit you" levels of space.
I would normally describe risk compensation as taking more risks when one (rightly or wrongly) feels safer though I guess the curve works in both directions and back past the origin.

Re: RISK COMPENSATION

Posted: 22 Dec 2010, 8:33pm
by kwackers
Mike Sales wrote:
Mike Sales wrote:
kwackers wrote:Wear dark clothing and no lights, dart on and off pavements.
I'd be willing to bet risk compensation will keep them well out of your way. :twisted:


I don't understand what point you are making here, sorry.

drossall wrote:I think he was being sarcastic.


I guessed that he was. I may be humourless, but I thought there might be some point he was contributing.

It was both (sarcasm and making a point).
Drossal has already made the point above that unlit cyclists aren't at as much danger as one would think. It's a form of risk compensation, motorists give cyclists that look unpredictable more space (and then get home and write their "annoyed of Basingstoke" mails to the local rag), ride around lit up like a christmas tree with hi-vis and helmets and you look as though you know what you're doing and thus they don't need to leave anything like as much space.

Re: RISK COMPENSATION

Posted: 22 Dec 2010, 10:03pm
by Mike Sales
SilverBadge wrote:I would normally describe risk compensation as taking more risks when one (rightly or wrongly) feels safer though I guess the curve works in both directions and back past the origin.


You are right. It does work in both directions. We have a target level of risk which may vary between people, or over time in one person. We balance risk and reward as presented by the external environment. Change the level of risk (or reward), and as autonomous individuals we vary our behaviour. It is difficult to make people safer than they want to be. We are not automatic machines to be manipulated by car or road engineers.

Re: RISK COMPENSATION

Posted: 22 Dec 2010, 10:06pm
by Mike Sales
kwackers wrote:It was both (sarcasm and making a point).
Drossal has already made the point above that unlit cyclists aren't at as much danger as one would think. It's a form of risk compensation, motorists give cyclists that look unpredictable more space (and then get home and write their "annoyed of Basingstoke" mails to the local rag), ride around lit up like a christmas tree with hi-vis and helmets and you look as though you know what you're doing and thus they don't need to leave anything like as much space.


I see. Thanks. The intricate dance of the risk thermostats. I hope this is comprehensible.