Steady rider wrote:Accepting that good cycling facilities increase cycling over time, world wide evidence.
But there is no evidence whatsoever that cycle facilities increase cycling.
Things that encourage cycling are things things that actually make cycling safer.
Things as such as low speed limits - like you see in Holland, Denmark, Sweden...
Things such as homezones - like you see in Holland...
Things such as shared space - like you see in Holland....
Things such as cycle streets - like you see in Holland...
Things such as strict liability - like you see in Holland....
Things that make walking three times as safe as it is in the UK - self evidently not cycle paths (presumably your claim to the contrary was a piece of self parody).
This is why countries such as Holland and Denmark are attractive for walker and cyclists. And cyclists are perfectly happy to ride on roads where they are allowed to.
This is why countries such as UK where the only approach engineers are willing to contemplate is segregation see low levels of cycling.
If you implement things that increase the danger to cyclists (such as cycle paths) then you will discourage cycling.
This is why places such as Milton Keynes - with an extensive network of good cycle paths see low levels of cycling.
This is why places such as Stevenage - which the Dutch took their inspiration from in the '70s see low levels of cycling.
This is why new-towns such as Runcorn, Skelmersdale, Telford ... (the list goes on) with their comprehensive cycle path networks all see low levels of cycling.
This is why the new-town areas of Warrington see much less cycling than the traditionally built parts of town.
This is why the more cycle paths a place has the fewer cyclists you see (so long as you compare similar places - rather than ones that have genuinely made their roads safer)
This is why when Hilden (Warrington's twin town in Germany) moved from the traditional segregationist model - to promoting cycling and walking by making the roads safer by measures a town wide 30km speed limit and home zones they achieved a 25% modal share of cycling.