Gang of six-impact on Xmas

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Jdsk
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Joined: 5 Mar 2019, 5:42pm

Re: Gang of six-impact on Xmas

Post by Jdsk »

Navara wrote:
Syd wrote:Case numbers will rise, as will hospital admissions, as will deaths if that it done.That is doubtful at best.The total opposite of what is actually happening

Are you saying that true case numbers aren't increasing at the moment?

Thanks

Jonathan

PS: Using colours like that in others' quotes is vey confusing. After one further quote it becomes impossible to see who said what.
Syd
Posts: 1230
Joined: 23 Sep 2018, 2:27pm

Re: Gang of six-impact on Xmas

Post by Syd »

Navara wrote:
Syd wrote:
The lockdown brought those numbers into controllable levels. Absolutely no evidence to suggest this.

What are you suggesting? We let everyone now run around as if nothing has happened? After all there is only 4 people in hospital at present? Yes that makes perfect sense and is exactly what needs to happen

Case numbers will rise, as will hospital admissions, as will deaths if that it done.That is doubtful at best.The total opposite of what is actually happening


You are merely falling for the continued fearmongering being spread by the media.

Come and do my job for a day and then say it is still fearmongerimg.
pete75
Posts: 16370
Joined: 24 Jul 2007, 2:37pm

Re: Gang of six-impact on Xmas

Post by pete75 »

Syd wrote:
Navara wrote:
Syd wrote:
The lockdown brought those numbers into controllable levels. Absolutely no evidence to suggest this.

What are you suggesting? We let everyone now run around as if nothing has happened? After all there is only 4 people in hospital at present? Yes that makes perfect sense and is exactly what needs to happen

Case numbers will rise, as will hospital admissions, as will deaths if that it done.That is doubtful at best.The total opposite of what is actually happening


You are merely falling for the continued fearmongering being spread by the media.

Come and do my job for a day and then say it is still fearmongerimg.


What is your job?
'Give me my bike, a bit of sunshine - and a stop-off for a lunchtime pint - and I'm a happy man.' - Reg Baker
Syd
Posts: 1230
Joined: 23 Sep 2018, 2:27pm

Re: Gang of six-impact on Xmas

Post by Syd »

pete75 wrote:
Syd wrote:
Navara wrote:
You are merely falling for the continued fearmongering being spread by the media.

Come and do my job for a day and then say it is still fearmongerimg.


What is your job?

Suffice to say I work within the NHS and have spent the past 6 months in planning meetings with national bodies and government.
pete75
Posts: 16370
Joined: 24 Jul 2007, 2:37pm

Re: Gang of six-impact on Xmas

Post by pete75 »

Syd wrote:
pete75 wrote:
Syd wrote:Come and do my job for a day and then say it is still fearmongerimg.


What is your job?

Suffice to say I work within the NHS and have spent the past 6 months in planning meetings with national bodies and government.

Are you a clinician or just a management/admin type person?
'Give me my bike, a bit of sunshine - and a stop-off for a lunchtime pint - and I'm a happy man.' - Reg Baker
Syd
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Joined: 23 Sep 2018, 2:27pm

Gang of six-impact on Xmas

Post by Syd »

Neither but please don’t be derogatory about admin / management They are not a ‘just’.
pete75
Posts: 16370
Joined: 24 Jul 2007, 2:37pm

Re: Gang of six-impact on Xmas

Post by pete75 »

pwa wrote:C19 deaths have been kept so low by severely restricting personal freedom and by crippling businesses. Without those extraordinary measures, which have a heavy cost, the number of dead would be several times higher. You and I have not seen what Covid 19 would have done, and might still do, without those measures. I agree that C19 mortality is very low right now. If it did not have the potential to increase greatly it would indeed be just one of the numerous ways to die.


So low? Britain has the highest number of deaths in Europe. It's over four times that of Germany. Admittedly Germany is a richer and more advanced nation but not vastly more so. What it does have is an able and competent leader. She also has a doctorate in Chemistry so is well able to understand the science behind the fight against C19.
'Give me my bike, a bit of sunshine - and a stop-off for a lunchtime pint - and I'm a happy man.' - Reg Baker
Jdsk
Posts: 24952
Joined: 5 Mar 2019, 5:42pm

Re: Gang of six-impact on Xmas

Post by Jdsk »

Syd wrote:Neither but please don’t be derogatory about admin / management They are not a ‘just’.

Yes.

Jonathan
Tangled Metal
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Joined: 13 Feb 2015, 8:32pm

Re: Gang of six-impact on Xmas

Post by Tangled Metal »

Anyone read about the consequences of getting covid 19 ? I think there are some serious long term ones to worry about some only seen in kids!!

It's certainly not the same as ordinary flu in that respect.
pwa
Posts: 17423
Joined: 2 Oct 2011, 8:55pm

Re: Gang of six-impact on Xmas

Post by pwa »

pete75 wrote:
pwa wrote:C19 deaths have been kept so low by severely restricting personal freedom and by crippling businesses. Without those extraordinary measures, which have a heavy cost, the number of dead would be several times higher. You and I have not seen what Covid 19 would have done, and might still do, without those measures. I agree that C19 mortality is very low right now. If it did not have the potential to increase greatly it would indeed be just one of the numerous ways to die.


So low? Britain has the highest number of deaths in Europe. It's over four times that of Germany. Admittedly Germany is a richer and more advanced nation but not vastly more so. What it does have is an able and competent leader. She also has a doctorate in Chemistry so is well able to understand the science behind the fight against C19.


"So low" in comparison to what it would have been without extraordinary measures. I agree that had we had the testing capacity Germany already had at the start, we could have done better. But you start from where you are, not where you would like to be.
Tangled Metal
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Joined: 13 Feb 2015, 8:32pm

Re: Gang of six-impact on Xmas

Post by Tangled Metal »

pete75 wrote:
pwa wrote:C19 deaths have been kept so low by severely restricting personal freedom and by crippling businesses. Without those extraordinary measures, which have a heavy cost, the number of dead would be several times higher. You and I have not seen what Covid 19 would have done, and might still do, without those measures. I agree that C19 mortality is very low right now. If it did not have the potential to increase greatly it would indeed be just one of the numerous ways to die.


So low? Britain has the highest number of deaths in Europe. It's over four times that of Germany. Admittedly Germany is a richer and more advanced nation but not vastly more so. What it does have is an able and competent leader. She also has a doctorate in Chemistry so is well able to understand the science behind the fight against C19.

Chemistry isn't the same as epidemiology or virology. Next you'll be saying Boris knows about African history / culture because he's a classics scholar.

What is it about people's relationship with STEM that they keep lumping them all in together?
Jdsk
Posts: 24952
Joined: 5 Mar 2019, 5:42pm

Re: Gang of six-impact on Xmas

Post by Jdsk »

Tangled Metal wrote:Anyone read about the consequences of getting covid 19 ?

Overview of "Long Covid":
https://www.bmj.com/content/370/bmj.m2815

Tangled Metal wrote:... only seen in kids!!

Yes, there are some different serious complications reported in children but they're very rare. The least uncommon might be a Kawasaki-like syndrome:
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2767209

Jonathan
Jdsk
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Joined: 5 Mar 2019, 5:42pm

Re: Gang of six-impact on Xmas

Post by Jdsk »

Tangled Metal wrote:
pete75 wrote:So low? Britain has the highest number of deaths in Europe. It's over four times that of Germany. Admittedly Germany is a richer and more advanced nation but not vastly more so. What it does have is an able and competent leader. She also has a doctorate in Chemistry so is well able to understand the science behind the fight against C19.

Chemistry isn't the same as epidemiology or virology.

Sure, but there's a body of reasoning that is highly consistent across science: numeracy, statistical analysis, evidence-based methods etc.

Jonathan
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Cowsham
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Re: Gang of six-impact on Xmas

Post by Cowsham »

Tangled Metal wrote:
It's certainly not the same as ordinary flu in that respect.


It's not even a flu, it's got much more in common with the common cold but much more deadly if your immune system reacts to it in a certain way. Trouble is you won't know how your system reacts until you get it. A vaccine is hard to manufacture and test.
I am here. Where are you?
pete75
Posts: 16370
Joined: 24 Jul 2007, 2:37pm

Re: Gang of six-impact on Xmas

Post by pete75 »

Syd wrote:Neither but please don’t be derogatory about admin / management They are not a ‘just’.


That's how my mother, a nurse for almost 40 years, referred to them. I've no reason to doubt what she said.
'Give me my bike, a bit of sunshine - and a stop-off for a lunchtime pint - and I'm a happy man.' - Reg Baker
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