War on Our Doorstep: How do we respond?

Use this board for general non-cycling-related chat, or to introduce yourself to the forum.
UpWrong
Posts: 2833
Joined: 31 May 2009, 12:16pm
Location: Portsmouth, Hampshire

Re: War on Our Doorstep: How do we respond?

Post by UpWrong »

It looks like Trump is selling out on Ukraine, and setting Zelensky up as the fall guy. Don't forget it was Trump who sold out on the Afghan govt, handing the country back to the Taliban with the result that all women in the country are discriminated against.

Time for the Polish to get nuclear weapons?
Carlton green
Posts: 4663
Joined: 22 Jun 2019, 12:27pm

Re: War on Our Doorstep: How do we respond?

Post by Carlton green »

UpWrong wrote: 19 Feb 2025, 12:44pm Time for the Polish to get nuclear weapons?
Them and the Germans too. They also need a better security service that simply ‘removes’ the Russian ‘agents’ that have weakened other countries ahead of Russia pushing to bring them back under their control. We in the West are too soft for our own good.

Trump in the Whitehouse was one hell of a victory for Putin, there must have been great rejoicing in Moscow.
Don’t fret, it’s OK to: ride a simple old bike; ride slowly, walk, rest and admire the view; ride off-road; ride in your raincoat; ride by yourself; ride in the dark; and ride one hundred yards or one hundred miles. Your bike and your choices to suit you.
Nearholmer
Posts: 5853
Joined: 26 Mar 2022, 7:13am

Re: War on Our Doorstep: How do we respond?

Post by Nearholmer »

I’m not convinced that all this talk of nuclear weapons is anything like the whole story.

The way to get regime change, to one favourable to your particular interests, in this case plutocracy/oligocracy fronted by national-populism, is to sap your opponent by from inside.

The UK, France, Germany etc are far more likely to crumble due to corrosion, than a frontal assault, and we have long been subject to acids of all kinds being dribbled onto us. Social media are really, really serious pipes for the acid, financial influence through investors and property purchase is another, suborning populist politicians and using them as tools is another, winding-up farmers to fever pitch is a good technique, buying-up and using traditional media like TV and newspapers is a good route, and so it goes on.

Already c20% of the population has been sufficiently softened-up, and as we’ve seen with the USA things can tilt decisively in favour of the anti-democracy forces quite rapidly.

What the answer to that is, I’m less sure, but one thing to consider is that militarising our economies actually aids the anti-democrats, by syphoning money away from public services, allowing the roads to get more potholes, the NHS longer waiting lists, schools fewer funds etc, thereby increasing discontent and depression, and increasing the number of people who blame it all on immigrants, so vote the national-populists in.

As well as getting better armed, maybe Western Europe also needs to get a lot “ballsier” (apologies) about the values it is trying to defend, and start living them a bit more by getting more egalitarian.
User avatar
853
Posts: 455
Joined: 23 Sep 2022, 6:01pm

Re: War on Our Doorstep: How do we respond?

Post by 853 »

UpWrong wrote: 19 Feb 2025, 12:44pm It looks like Trump is selling out on Ukraine, and setting Zelensky up as the fall guy. Don't forget it was Trump who sold out on the Afghan govt, handing the country back to the Taliban with the result that all women in the country are discriminated against.
Wrong.

The U.S. troop withdrawal from Afghanistan was in 2021, when Biden was in power
UpWrong
Posts: 2833
Joined: 31 May 2009, 12:16pm
Location: Portsmouth, Hampshire

Re: War on Our Doorstep: How do we respond?

Post by UpWrong »

853 wrote: 19 Feb 2025, 1:59pm
UpWrong wrote: 19 Feb 2025, 12:44pm It looks like Trump is selling out on Ukraine, and setting Zelensky up as the fall guy. Don't forget it was Trump who sold out on the Afghan govt, handing the country back to the Taliban with the result that all women in the country are discriminated against.
Wrong.

The U.S. troop withdrawal from Afghanistan was in 2021, when Biden was in power
Wrong. It was Trump who made the deal (without the agreement of the Afghan govt).
User avatar
853
Posts: 455
Joined: 23 Sep 2022, 6:01pm

Re: War on Our Doorstep: How do we respond?

Post by 853 »

UpWrong wrote: 19 Feb 2025, 2:00pm
853 wrote: 19 Feb 2025, 1:59pm
UpWrong wrote: 19 Feb 2025, 12:44pm It looks like Trump is selling out on Ukraine, and setting Zelensky up as the fall guy. Don't forget it was Trump who sold out on the Afghan govt, handing the country back to the Taliban with the result that all women in the country are discriminated against.
Wrong.

The U.S. troop withdrawal from Afghanistan was in 2021, when Biden was in power
Wrong. It was Trump who made the deal (without the agreement of the Afghan govt).
Biden didn't stick to the deal
Stevek76
Posts: 2233
Joined: 28 Jul 2015, 11:23am

Re: War on Our Doorstep: How do we respond?

Post by Stevek76 »

Nearholmer wrote: 19 Feb 2025, 1:10pm Already c20% of the population has been sufficiently softened-up, and as we’ve seen with the USA things can tilt decisively in favour of the anti-democracy forces quite rapidly.

What the answer to that is, I’m less sure, but one thing to consider is that militarising our economies actually aids the anti-democrats, by syphoning money away from public services, allowing the roads to get more potholes, the NHS longer waiting lists, schools fewer funds etc, thereby increasing discontent and depression, and increasing the number of people who blame it all on immigrants, so vote the national-populists in.

As well as getting better armed, maybe Western Europe also needs to get a lot “ballsier” (apologies) about the values it is trying to defend, and start living them a bit more by getting more egalitarian.
Well there's a few hundred bn $s of frozen russian assets that could help fund ukraine's defence. Being more egalitarian is certainly needed regardless though, unfortunately the western political cycle trope involving uninspiring centrists trope seems to remain true at this point with Starmer's labour happy to trash what few more egalitarian manifesto commitments they still had in it in an effort to tack further 'right', oblivious to the fact that they're just making the same mistakes the tories made and playing straight into reform's hands.
The contents of this post, unless otherwise stated, are opinions of the author and may actually be complete codswallop
Carlton green
Posts: 4663
Joined: 22 Jun 2019, 12:27pm

Re: War on Our Doorstep: How do we respond?

Post by Carlton green »

Nearholmer wrote: 19 Feb 2025, 1:10pm
The way to get regime change, to one favourable to your particular interests, in this case plutocracy/oligocracy fronted by national-populism, is to sap your opponent by from inside.

The UK, France, Germany etc are far more likely to crumble due to corrosion, than a frontal assault, and we have long been subject to acids of all kinds being dribbled onto us. Social media are really, really serious pipes for the acid, financial influence through investors and property purchase is another, suborning populist politicians and using them as tools is another, winding-up farmers to fever pitch is a good technique, buying-up and using traditional media like TV and newspapers is a good route, and so it goes on.

Already c20% of the population has been sufficiently softened-up, and as we’ve seen with the USA things can tilt decisively in favour of the anti-democracy forces quite rapidly.
That has been one of the many levers that Putin has been pulling, we’re just too stupid to realise it. Where he has military superiority he will also lever with that too.
Don’t fret, it’s OK to: ride a simple old bike; ride slowly, walk, rest and admire the view; ride off-road; ride in your raincoat; ride by yourself; ride in the dark; and ride one hundred yards or one hundred miles. Your bike and your choices to suit you.
pete75
Posts: 16712
Joined: 24 Jul 2007, 2:37pm

Re: War on Our Doorstep: How do we respond?

Post by pete75 »

wheelyhappy99 wrote: 19 Feb 2025, 8:47am
pete75 wrote: 18 Feb 2025, 9:07am
wheelyhappy99 wrote: 17 Feb 2025, 9:41pm

Zelensky and Tusk met just last month to kiss and make up over that series of massacres. Perhaps because they both realise they have a more significant common threat?

Poland has admitted a lot of Ukrainian refugees already, and been the transit route to countries further west including the UK. There were quite a few catching the bus at the border crossing to head west when I was there a few weeks ago. My point is that if Ukrainians don't feel safe under Russian occupation many many more will do the same.

The UK likes to remember how generous it was taking Jewish kids from the Kinder transports in 1938-9. We are less keen to.tecall that the kids travelled alone because we refused to admit their parents. And we know what happened to most of them.

So is the UK now willing to do much more, along with other European countries, the US having washed it's hands of the war to.focus on getting cheap rare earths, to keep Ukraine safe for Ukrainians? Or would we prefer to take our share of the subsequent refugees if we don't? Or will we do the same as in 1939 and leave them to the tender care of the Russians?
Yes, leave them to the Russians.
Clear enough Pete.

To avoid speculation about your view will you specify which of the following European populations should also be 'left to the Russians' should they be invaded by Russian, and perhaps North Korean, troops?
Finns, Estonians, Moldovans, Polish, German, French, British.
Be my guest - speculate as much as you like about my views.
'Give me my bike, a bit of sunshine - and a stop-off for a lunchtime pint - and I'm a happy man.' - Reg Baker
reohn2
Posts: 46002
Joined: 26 Jun 2009, 8:21pm

Re: War on Our Doorstep: How do we respond?

Post by reohn2 »

Bonefishblues wrote: 19 Feb 2025, 12:34pm
It's time for Europe to step up, for sure.
Spot on!
Now it's a question will we stop the march of tyrants or a case of as Pete75 wants to just let the Russians have us as well as them.
These are dark times for Europe unless it can get itself truly united,and I count the UK as part of that unification,it's time for real leadership.
-----------------------------------------------------------
"All we are not stares back at what we are"
W H Auden
pete75
Posts: 16712
Joined: 24 Jul 2007, 2:37pm

Re: War on Our Doorstep: How do we respond?

Post by pete75 »

reohn2 wrote: 19 Feb 2025, 11:59pm
Bonefishblues wrote: 19 Feb 2025, 12:34pm
It's time for Europe to step up, for sure.
Spot on!
Now it's a question will we stop the march of tyrants or a case of as Pete75 wants to just let the Russians have us as well as them.
These are dark times for Europe unless it can get itself truly united,and I count the UK as part of that unification,it's time for real leadership.
I never said that, and your view that Russia will invade NATO members in Europe is pure fantasy. Still some people need a bogeyman to frighten the children.
'Give me my bike, a bit of sunshine - and a stop-off for a lunchtime pint - and I'm a happy man.' - Reg Baker
cycle tramp
Posts: 4717
Joined: 5 Aug 2009, 7:22pm

Re: War on Our Doorstep: How do we respond?

Post by cycle tramp »

...although less of a fantasy.. if Trump decides not to be involved as there are 'miles and miles of peacedul ocean' between America and Russia' Perhaps the only childish belief is that America will come to our aid, should Russia invade a nato country...
Dedicated to anyone who has reached that stage https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=Vqbk9cDX0l0 (please note may include humorous swearing)
Carlton green
Posts: 4663
Joined: 22 Jun 2019, 12:27pm

Re: War on Our Doorstep: How do we respond?

Post by Carlton green »

cycle tramp wrote: 20 Feb 2025, 7:06am ...although less of a fantasy.. if Trump decides not to be involved as there are 'miles and miles of peacedul ocean' between America and Russia' Perhaps the only childish belief is that America will come to our aid, should Russia invade a nato country...
^^ This. Those that think the unthinkable can not happen are in for a shock. The shock might take time to arrive but a patient adversary will just keep patiently chipping away at things and take their opportunities to advance.
Don’t fret, it’s OK to: ride a simple old bike; ride slowly, walk, rest and admire the view; ride off-road; ride in your raincoat; ride by yourself; ride in the dark; and ride one hundred yards or one hundred miles. Your bike and your choices to suit you.
reohn2
Posts: 46002
Joined: 26 Jun 2009, 8:21pm

Re: War on Our Doorstep: How do we respond?

Post by reohn2 »

Carlton green wrote: 20 Feb 2025, 7:35am
cycle tramp wrote: 20 Feb 2025, 7:06am ...although less of a fantasy.. if Trump decides not to be involved as there are 'miles and miles of peacedul ocean' between America and Russia' Perhaps the only childish belief is that America will come to our aid, should Russia invade a nato country...
^^ This. Those that think the unthinkable can not happen are in for a shock. The shock might take time to arrive but a patient adversary will just keep patiently chipping away at things and take their opportunities to advance.
Correct,I wouldn't put nothing past Putin or Trump,both are despotic dictators high on the drug of power the most destructive of all drugs.
It seems in the past 80 years we've learned nothing as history begins to repeat itself.
-----------------------------------------------------------
"All we are not stares back at what we are"
W H Auden
cycle tramp
Posts: 4717
Joined: 5 Aug 2009, 7:22pm

Re: War on Our Doorstep: How do we respond?

Post by cycle tramp »

...itself worth remembering that both China and North Korea are also watching Trump - if Trump doesn't intervene, then that another green light for China and North Korea to act...

It's very possible that if Russia makes a move towards any other European country, Trump will use the opportunity to seize Canada and Greenland....
Dedicated to anyone who has reached that stage https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=Vqbk9cDX0l0 (please note may include humorous swearing)
Post Reply