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Re: Hung Parliament means Hung Parliament - the Hung Parliament thread
Posted: 13 Jun 2017, 5:41pm
by mjr
pwa wrote:UKIP in Wales are currently led by the very lovely Neil Hamilton, who would never have been elected for anything under his own banner. He got in because he was put on the UKIP list by UKIP central office and was not wanted by UKIP in Wales.
Actually, he got in because enough voters in Mid and West Wales were still willing to vote UKIP even after he was put at the head of their regional list. Plenty of parties didn't get regional list members there (including Lib Dems and Conservatives). That's democracy for you, even if we sometimes dislike what it produces.
Re: Hung Parliament means Hung Parliament - the Hung Parliament thread
Posted: 13 Jun 2017, 6:22pm
by PH
meic wrote:DUP would find their interests best served by supporting Conservatives even without a price being extracted in return.
Still of that opinion? If so what do you think they've been haggling about all day?
You are probably right that it's in the DUPs interests to support a Tory Government, but it's even more in their interests to be able to demonstrate to their supporters that they have got something for it.
Re: Hung Parliament means Hung Parliament - the Hung Parliament thread
Posted: 13 Jun 2017, 7:25pm
by Cyril Haearn
Time for a GNU, government of national unity
Remember the song:
I'm a G-nu, I'm a Gnu, I'm not a camel or a kangaroo..
Why, the LNER presciently named loco 61018 "Gnu", the shortest engine name
The GNU should last a while longer than three letters one hopes
Re: Hung Parliament means Hung Parliament - the Hung Parliament thread
Posted: 13 Jun 2017, 11:09pm
by Vorpal
All that needs to happen for Sinn Fein to take their seats is replacement of the oath/affirmation to the Queen to be replaced by an oath/affirmation to one's constituents...
https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/3786046/s ... -majority/The Sun can also reveal the Irish Republican party have refused to rule out taking their seats for the first time to vote through a Labour Queen’s Speech if Jeremy Corbyn offered them a referendum on unifying Ireland.
Re: Hung Parliament means Hung Parliament - the Hung Parliament thread
Posted: 13 Jun 2017, 11:43pm
by meic
The Sun has, of course, just made that up.
Sinn Fein have consistently stated and still do state that they will do no such thing.
Re: Hung Parliament means Hung Parliament - the Hung Parliament thread
Posted: 14 Jun 2017, 9:36am
by Ben@Forest
Vorpal wrote:The Sun can also reveal the Irish Republican party have refused to rule out taking their seats for the first time to vote through a Labour Queen’s Speech if Jeremy Corbyn offered them a referendum on unifying Ireland.
Whether this is true or not presumably there would have to be a similar vote in Southern Ireland for this to have any real significance anyway? And despite its small size in the top corner of the island Northern Ireland has a much greater population density than the south - about 1.8 million opposed to 4 million - so about 30% of the total population.
I wonder if Ireland and Irish political structures would want to suddenly deal with having so many Protestants 'on their turf'? Eamon de Valera certainly didn't - during his time he sought a staunchly Catholic Ireland and as part the population the percentage of Church of Ireland (Anglicans) dropped from around 15% to around 5%.
Re: Hung Parliament means Hung Parliament - the Hung Parliament thread
Posted: 14 Jun 2017, 10:59am
by mjr
meic wrote:The Sun has, of course, just made that up.
Sinn Fein have consistently stated and still do state that they will do no such thing.
Indeed - and if you look at
the current oath, it's obvious they won't.
"refused to rule out" probably means they told the Sun's reporter to **** **** or similar when she/he asked for the millionth time.
Re: Hung Parliament means Hung Parliament - the Hung Parliament thread
Posted: 14 Jun 2017, 11:34am
by horizon
thirdcrank wrote: The wheeler-dealing may go on within the parties or between them.
You pays your money ...
Personally I prefer between.
Re: Hung Parliament means Hung Parliament - the Hung Parliament thread
Posted: 14 Jun 2017, 11:45am
by horizon
blackbike wrote:Our system for deciding on election timing is as good as any,
It was certainly good this time.
Actually I think the election shows all sorts of good things about the UK way of doing things. Policy has changed, politics has shifted, Labour is happy (although they lost). the Tories are gutted (although they won). It seems to be a messy but flexible way of doing things: let's face it, David Dimbleby presided over a very open and democratic Election Night Special. Yes, the Greens should have more seats but UKIP didn't get many either. What it really showed is that it needs people to participate and that is their fault not the system's.
Re: Hung Parliament means Hung Parliament - the Hung Parliament thread
Posted: 14 Jun 2017, 1:25pm
by Ben@Forest
horizon wrote:Actually I think the election shows all sorts of good things about the UK way of doing things. Policy has changed, politics has shifted, Labour is happy (although they lost). the Tories are gutted (although they won). It seems to be a messy but flexible way of doing things: let's face it, David Dimbleby presided over a very open and democratic Election Night Special. Yes, the Greens should have more seats but UKIP didn't get many either. What it really showed is that it needs people to participate and that is their fault not the system's.
I think the best thing to come out of the election is that whatever sort of Brexit we have it will be formed by a better spread of the political parties across the UK. Otherwise Nicola Sturgeon would have spent the next three years telling us that this wasn't what Scots voted for in the (2015) General Election and threatening IndyRef2 at every turn. With a good swathe of Tory, Labour and Liberal MPs in Scotland at least it's more representative.
Re: Hung Parliament means Hung Parliament - the Hung Parliament thread
Posted: 14 Jun 2017, 1:34pm
by Psamathe
Ben@Forest wrote:...
I think the best thing to come out of the election is that whatever sort of Brexit we have it will be formed by a better spread of the political parties across the UK.....
But will it. Or will it be determined by the Conservatives propped-up by a few MPs from a fairly extreme party from NI. So far May has only done what little is necessary to avoid her being thrown-out. Seems she is pretty set on "business as usual" like the election never happened, she's ploughing on regardless. Ok, she's had to appoint a few enemies to Cabinet to make sure they don't speak out and she'll have to divert a disproportionate amount of taxpayer money to Norther Ireland (oh and she's risking the NI peace process), but on Brexit she's still just not listening to anybody, least of all other parties or the electorate.
Ian
Re: Hung Parliament means Hung Parliament - the Hung Parliament thread
Posted: 14 Jun 2017, 1:37pm
by Ben@Forest
Psamathe wrote:Ben@Forest wrote:...
I think the best thing to come out of the election is that whatever sort of Brexit we have it will be formed by a better spread of the political parties across the UK.....
But will it. Or will it be determined by the Conservatives propped-up by a few MPs from a fairly extreme party from NI. So far May has only done what little is necessary to avoid her being thrown-out. Seems she is pretty set on "business as usual" like the election never happened, she's ploughing on regardless. Ok, she's had to appoint a few enemies to Cabinet to make sure they don't speak out and she'll have to divert a disproportionate amount of taxpayer money to Norther Ireland (oh and she's risking the NI peace process), but on Brexit she's still just not listening to anybody, least of all other parties or the electorate.
With a fair rump of 'Remainer' or 'soft Brexit' Tories (look at what Ruth Davidson has been intimating) I think she'll have to be a lot more conciliatory. But the point is there are no longer 54 SNP MPS for Scotland - they would have legitimately argued all the way that the SNP view was Scotland's view.
Re: Hung Parliament means Hung Parliament - the Hung Parliament thread
Posted: 14 Jun 2017, 1:46pm
by Psamathe
Ben@Forest wrote:Psamathe wrote:Ben@Forest wrote:...
I think the best thing to come out of the election is that whatever sort of Brexit we have it will be formed by a better spread of the political parties across the UK.....
But will it. Or will it be determined by the Conservatives propped-up by a few MPs from a fairly extreme party from NI. So far May has only done what little is necessary to avoid her being thrown-out. Seems she is pretty set on "business as usual" like the election never happened, she's ploughing on regardless. Ok, she's had to appoint a few enemies to Cabinet to make sure they don't speak out and she'll have to divert a disproportionate amount of taxpayer money to Norther Ireland (oh and she's risking the NI peace process), but on Brexit she's still just not listening to anybody, least of all other parties or the electorate.
With a fair rump of 'Remainer' or 'soft Brexit' Tories (look at what Ruth Davidson has been intimating) I think she'll have to be a lot more conciliatory. But the point is there are no longer 54 SNP MPS for Scotland - they would have legitimately argued all the way that the SNP view was Scotland's view.
Not my impression following the lack of any outcome after Davidson met May (May still ploughing on regardless, no change).
Ian
Re: Hung Parliament means Hung Parliament - the Hung Parliament thread
Posted: 14 Jun 2017, 1:53pm
by Ben@Forest
Psamathe wrote:Not my impression following the lack of any outcome after Davidson met May (May still ploughing on regardless, no change).
I think we have to recognise that May (or whoever else was leading the country) is going to have a hard-nosed attitude which can then be negotiated. Just as the EU have sounded rigid or inflexible these issues will be discussed and terms found. The idea that May is some kind of devil incarnate while the EU is all sweetness and light is ludicrous.
Re: Hung Parliament means Hung Parliament - the Hung Parliament thread
Posted: 14 Jun 2017, 2:11pm
by Psamathe
Ben@Forest wrote:Psamathe wrote:Not my impression following the lack of any outcome after Davidson met May (May still ploughing on regardless, no change).
I think we have to recognise that May (or whoever else was leading the country) is going to have a hard-nosed attitude which can then be negotiated. Just as the EU have sounded rigid or inflexible these issues will be discussed and terms found. The idea that May is some kind of devil incarnate while the EU is all sweetness and light is ludicrous.
My concern is where she wants to get to and how competent she will be in moving towards that. She clearly has poor judgement and is not good at accessing risk/outcome. If you are in Birmingham and want to get to Exeter you don't start heading towards Glasgow.
My worries are not so much about the EU but about May herself. If she goes down her hard Brexit route determined by Davis and a few other backbenchers she may end-up with a far worse deal than were she to moderate her position. Davis will be red-lining some things he/May don't like, taking them "off-the-table" where were she to listen to the wider Westminster representation then those things might not be re-lined in the same way. Yet she does not seem to be listening to others, but seems to think she has the votes and no longer needs a mandate.
Ian