Hmm - but Kidd concludes from his own data and calculations that "The slack side tension and pressure of the derailleur mechanism was found to reduce efficiency by up to 5% at low power and 1.5% at high power throughputs in comparison with the same gear combination with no rear derailleur." and that "For all gear ratios with a derailleur gear, a varying amount of non-zero slack slide
[sic] tension is present and this has its greatest effect on efficiency, where it can account for up to 4% losses."
He also notes that slack side tension increases as the chain is moved to larger sprocket combinations, due to the design of the rear derailleur. Using the examples in your table, the slack side tension will be higher for the 24t sprocket than for the 13t sprocket (assuming the front chainring remains the same). In real-world combinations this could offset the increased chain efficiency found when using larger sprockets.
So it doesn't sound like that's a
fixed component of friction losses, though it does support the idea that losses are greater at lower power outputs.
Also it's interesting that the losses due to slack side tension are potentially more than those due to chain mis-alignment. In the example Kidd gives in fig 8.4 of "typical" usage (250W, 52:12, 80rpm, which admittedly isn't my idea of typical!) slack side losses are more than triple the losses due to chain offset.
The messages I take from this are that
(1) It's complicated. Far more complicated than many people make out.
(2) Chain alignment, though a factor in friction losses, is by no means a major one. Other factors can have equal or more effect.
(3) Assuming reasonably-well maintained components and lubrication, we're talking about losses broadly in the 2%-5% range here.
(4) When you're in a road race and trying to keep up with the pack, a 2% loss may well be noticeable. However when you're on tour or going to the shops, a 5% difference is probably not noticeable. (Though next time I'm doing a 100-mile ride and it's getting dark and cold and I still have 5 miles to go, I reserve the right to reconsider this view.)
I therefore conclude that cycle tramp is correct.
