Random helmet-based abuse

For all discussions about this "lively" subject. All topics that are substantially about helmet usage will be moved here.
Mike Sales
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Re: Random helmet-based abuse

Post by Mike Sales »

Stevek76 wrote: 4 Dec 2023, 2:55pm
pjclinch wrote: 4 Dec 2023, 8:25am and that goes for proving helmets are either significantly positive for cyclist safety or significantly bad.
It's quite telling though that part of the reason such evidence is lacking is because none of the countries who've implemented helmet laws collect sufficient data on use of cycling as a mode of a transport.

It's almost as if they don't actually care about cyclists at all...
Yes indeed.
If any country proposes to mandate helmets then the planning ought to include making sure that sufficient and accurate statistics are gathered, before and after implementation.
The conventional wisdom is that helmets are a good thing and are obviously effective. It would be useful to discover whether this is true, because it is far from evident.
It's the same the whole world over
It's the poor what gets the blame
It's the rich what gets the pleasure
Isn't it a blooming shame?
Jdsk
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Re: Random helmet-based abuse

Post by Jdsk »

Mike Sales wrote: 4 Dec 2023, 3:06pm ...
The conventional wisdom is that helmets are a good thing and are obviously effective. It would be useful to discover whether this is true, because it is far from evident.
I have tried several times to have a discussion in this forum about the evidence informing the several different questions.

It has always failed. With a couple of honourable exceptions there simply isn't enough commitment to evidence-based methods.

Jonathan
Stevek76
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Re: Random helmet-based abuse

Post by Stevek76 »

drossall wrote: 4 Dec 2023, 3:04pm
Stevek76 wrote: 4 Dec 2023, 2:55pmIt's quite telling though that part of the reason such evidence is lacking is because none of the countries who've implemented helmet laws collect sufficient data on use of cycling as a mode of a transport.
I believe that there have been some issues with collecting sufficient data because there aren't actually enough relevant accidents. Someone pointed out that the typical hospital, for example, might see one or two a year, or none at all.
yes, though I was more referring to the lack of data on cycle use as a major criticism of AUS/NZ laws relates to the alleged drop in cycle use that resulted.
The contents of this post, unless otherwise stated, are opinions of the author and may actually be complete codswallop
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Cugel
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Re: Random helmet-based abuse

Post by Cugel »

Jdsk wrote: 4 Dec 2023, 3:12pm
Mike Sales wrote: 4 Dec 2023, 3:06pm ...
The conventional wisdom is that helmets are a good thing and are obviously effective. It would be useful to discover whether this is true, because it is far from evident.
I have tried several times to have a discussion in this forum about the evidence informing the several different questions.

It has always failed. With a couple of honourable exceptions there simply isn't enough commitment to evidence-based methods.

Jonathan
Well ... can you specify what evidence based methods for testing which functional performances of cycling helmets of what designs & materials would be revealing?

To do a comparison test, you would need to arrange cycling "accident" types that not only isolated or eliminated all sorts of other factors to ensure that only the helmet functions were being measured but also comparison experiments where cyclists were made to crash without a helmet, which might prove a helmet did this or that but which might also permanently damage the poor cyclist.

Can you emulate such human cyclists with a dummy? I doubt it as dummies are dumb, not reactive humans, so the constructed "accidents" will not really emulate real ones. Accidents also occur on real roads, not in labs.

Personally I feel that there are other ways to make a judgement about whether its worth buying and wearing a cycling helmet. A major factor is: how often (if at all) do you expect to fall off and bang your head seriously when cycling, going by experience (your own and that of others)? Another is: what amount of force does a cycling helmet absorb in various kinds of head-bang? (Not just the new and perfect helmets "tested" by manufacturers but those bought in a shop and used for significant time). Another is, does helmet wearing induce a feeling in some cyclists, or others on the road, that it will protect them from far more than it will, so that they take unjustifiable risks?

To "test" in these ways is also quite difficult, as there's an awful lot of subjectivity involved.

What we do know is that its pointless asking humans to judge such matters accurately as they'll consider them through a large lens of their current beliefs, which are often held with a religious zeal. The same applies to policemen, ambulance folk, doctors and nurses required to deal with head injuries from cycling. They know as little as anyone else abut what functional protections cycling helmets actually provide (and which they make worse).

In the final analysis, the choice is much like many other consumerist choices, in which the primary considerations are fashion, peer pressure, mass media prejudices and the Svengali effects of advertising. To get at the "true" value of cycling helmets as a protective device, you'd have to somehow sweep all that away.

In short, not every matter we humans need to make decisions about can be informed by "studies".
“Practical men who believe themselves to be quite exempt from any intellectual influence are usually the slaves of some defunct economist”.
John Maynard Keynes
Jdsk
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Re: Random helmet-based abuse

Post by Jdsk »

Cugel wrote: 4 Dec 2023, 3:50pm ...
In short, not every matter we humans need to make decisions about can be informed by "studies".
Thanks for making the point. There is no value in discussing the questions in a setting where there's no commitment to evidence-based methods.

Jonathan
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Cowsham
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Re: Random helmet-based abuse

Post by Cowsham »

pjclinch wrote: 4 Dec 2023, 8:25am
Meanwhile, here's what I was up to at the weekend.
SgurrNaLapaich.jpg
I have a mountaineering helmet but chose not to wear it. We went up the ridge in the centre-background where we needed ice axes. As you can see there's plenty of slippy rocks about that could cause a serious head injury and should my head strike one of them I'm sure I'd be better off in my helmet, not somewhere with a guaranteed phone signal and miles from help. Is that "anti-helmet" too?

Pete.
Great picture -- nice to see you get out and about between writing rants about helmets.
I am here. Where are you?
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pjclinch
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Re: Random helmet-based abuse

Post by pjclinch »

Cowsham wrote: 4 Dec 2023, 3:57pm
pjclinch wrote: 4 Dec 2023, 8:25am
Meanwhile, here's what I was up to at the weekend.
SgurrNaLapaich.jpg
I have a mountaineering helmet but chose not to wear it. We went up the ridge in the centre-background where we needed ice axes. As you can see there's plenty of slippy rocks about that could cause a serious head injury and should my head strike one of them I'm sure I'd be better off in my helmet, not somewhere with a guaranteed phone signal and miles from help. Is that "anti-helmet" too?
Great picture -- nice to see you get out and about between writing rants about helmets.
Not so nice to see you carrying on avoiding the actual questions and issues put to you about your own rants about helmets, but hey ho 🤷‍♂️
Often seen riding a bike around Dundee...
mattheus
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Re: Random helmet-based abuse

Post by mattheus »

Cowsham wrote: 4 Dec 2023, 3:57pm
pjclinch wrote: 4 Dec 2023, 8:25am
Meanwhile, here's what I was up to at the weekend.
SgurrNaLapaich.jpg
Great picture -- nice to see you get out and about between writing rants about helmets.
Perhaps you could give it a try?
mattheus
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Re: Random helmet-based abuse

Post by mattheus »

Jdsk wrote: 4 Dec 2023, 3:12pm
Mike Sales wrote: 4 Dec 2023, 3:06pm ...
The conventional wisdom is that helmets are a good thing and are obviously effective. It would be useful to discover whether this is true, because it is far from evident.
I have tried several times to have a discussion in this forum about the evidence informing the several different questions.

It has always failed. With a couple of honourable exceptions there simply isn't enough commitment to evidence-based methods.

Jonathan
What's your view of law-makers, rule-makers, and governing bodies that bring in compulsion without referring to the considerable body of existing evidence?
Jdsk
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Re: Random helmet-based abuse

Post by Jdsk »

mattheus wrote: 4 Dec 2023, 4:22pm What's your view of law-makers, rule-makers, and governing bodies that bring in compulsion without referring to the considerable body of existing evidence?
I'd like to see much greater attention to assessment of the evidence in all legislation and regulation, not just that related to cycling or cycling helmets.

In the UK this is often done well in the initial reviews, expert proposals, and even Select Committees. But it does tend to get lost after that. Goldacre made a serious attempt at improving this.

And if the question is specifically about "compulsion" in relation to cycle helmets it's the same answer.

But we might disagree about the existing evidence. I'd be looking for systematic reviews of the effects rather than cherrypicked, and especially at potential confounders. And it's very common for evidence-based methodology to come up with a result of "We just don't know".

Jonathan
mattheus
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Re: Random helmet-based abuse

Post by mattheus »

Jdsk wrote: 4 Dec 2023, 4:33pm
mattheus wrote: 4 Dec 2023, 4:22pm What's your view of law-makers, rule-makers, and governing bodies that bring in compulsion without referring to the considerable body of existing evidence?
I'd like to see much greater attention to assessment of the evidence in all legislation and regulation, not just that related to cycling or cycling helmets.

In the UK this is often done well in the initial reviews, expert proposals, and even Select Committees. But it does tend to get lost after that. Goldacre made a serious attempt at improving this.

And if the question is specifically about "compulsion" in relation to cycle helmets it's the same answer.

But we might disagree about the existing evidence. I'd be looking for systematic reviews of the effects rather than cherrypicked, and especially at potential confounders. And it's very common for evidence-based methodology to come up with a result of "We just don't know".

Jonathan
So are you against rules being made purely on the basis of "common sense"? Yes or no please.
Jdsk
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Re: Random helmet-based abuse

Post by Jdsk »

mattheus wrote: 4 Dec 2023, 4:40pm
Jdsk wrote: 4 Dec 2023, 4:33pm
mattheus wrote: 4 Dec 2023, 4:22pm What's your view of law-makers, rule-makers, and governing bodies that bring in compulsion without referring to the considerable body of existing evidence?
I'd like to see much greater attention to assessment of the evidence in all legislation and regulation, not just that related to cycling or cycling helmets.

In the UK this is often done well in the initial reviews, expert proposals, and even Select Committees. But it does tend to get lost after that. Goldacre made a serious attempt at improving this.

And if the question is specifically about "compulsion" in relation to cycle helmets it's the same answer.

But we might disagree about the existing evidence. I'd be looking for systematic reviews of the effects rather than cherrypicked, and especially at potential confounders. And it's very common for evidence-based methodology to come up with a result of "We just don't know".
So are you against rules being made purely on the basis of "common sense"? Yes or no please.
Different people seem to have different opinions of what is "common sense".

As above I'm in favour of finding out what's known and what isn't known before getting anywhere near legislation or any other aspect of policy.

Jonathan
mattheus
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Re: Random helmet-based abuse

Post by mattheus »

Jdsk wrote: 4 Dec 2023, 4:42pm
mattheus wrote: 4 Dec 2023, 4:40pm
Jdsk wrote: 4 Dec 2023, 4:33pm
I'd like to see much greater attention to assessment of the evidence in all legislation and regulation, not just that related to cycling or cycling helmets.

In the UK this is often done well in the initial reviews, expert proposals, and even Select Committees. But it does tend to get lost after that. Goldacre made a serious attempt at improving this.

And if the question is specifically about "compulsion" in relation to cycle helmets it's the same answer.

But we might disagree about the existing evidence. I'd be looking for systematic reviews of the effects rather than cherrypicked, and especially at potential confounders. And it's very common for evidence-based methodology to come up with a result of "We just don't know".
So are you against rules being made purely on the basis of "common sense"? Yes or no please.
Different people seem to have different opinions of what is "common sense".

As above I'm in favour of finding out what's known and what isn't known before getting anywhere near legislation or any other aspect of policy.

Jonathan
Is that Yes or No? It's quite a simple question.

(I'll even allow "No: unless they also supply xyz ... " :) )
roubaixtuesday
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Re: Random helmet-based abuse

Post by roubaixtuesday »

mattheus wrote: 4 Dec 2023, 4:40pm
Jdsk wrote: 4 Dec 2023, 4:33pm
mattheus wrote: 4 Dec 2023, 4:22pm What's your view of law-makers, rule-makers, and governing bodies that bring in compulsion without referring to the considerable body of existing evidence?
I'd like to see much greater attention to assessment of the evidence in all legislation and regulation, not just that related to cycling or cycling helmets.

In the UK this is often done well in the initial reviews, expert proposals, and even Select Committees. But it does tend to get lost after that. Goldacre made a serious attempt at improving this.

And if the question is specifically about "compulsion" in relation to cycle helmets it's the same answer.

But we might disagree about the existing evidence. I'd be looking for systematic reviews of the effects rather than cherrypicked, and especially at potential confounders. And it's very common for evidence-based methodology to come up with a result of "We just don't know".

Jonathan
So are you against rules being made purely on the basis of "common sense"? Yes or no please.
I'm implacably opposed to decisions being made purely on the basis of "common sense".

It's almost invariably used to mean "my prejudices" (which I wish to avoid being challenged).

A highly prejudiced extreme group of MPs have helpfully labelled themselves as the "common sense group" to nicely illustrate this point. It includes a chapter entitled "What is Wokeism and How Can it Be Defeated? "

How much more common sense could one become?

https://www.marcolonghi.org.uk/sites/ww ... -Sense.pdf

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Common_Sense_Group
drossall
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Re: Random helmet-based abuse

Post by drossall »

mattheus wrote: 4 Dec 2023, 4:40pmSo are you against rules being made purely on the basis of "common sense"? Yes or no please.
I don't think that question is capable of a yes or no answer. The problem with common sense is that it can be unreliable. So, whilst we often need common-sense rules, we have to be open to it being pointed out that they are misguided. For example, common sense led to the straightening and widening of roads at many accident black spots. Evidence showed that, in many cases, it led to higher speeds, worse conditions for cyclists and pedestrians, and more accidents down the road as faster-moving vehicles reached the next hazard. So the rules about dealing with black spots aren't going to be yes or no either.
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