cycle tramp wrote: 4 Dec 2023, 10:17pm
Jdsk wrote: 4 Dec 2023, 3:56pm
Cugel wrote: 4 Dec 2023, 3:50pm
...
In short, not every matter we humans need to make decisions about can be informed by "studies".
Thanks for making the point. There is no value in discussing the questions in a setting where there's no commitment to evidence-based methods.
I think you're right. I would be very doubtful if any studies would accurately refect the type of riding that do and the environment in which I do it...
..further to this point, I would equally doubt whether or not such studies woould take into consideration other 'safety aids' which I may or may not be using.
That a model doesn't tell you for sure what's best for
you isn't the same as being useless for general policy advice. For example, wildebeest are safer if they migrate in herds, but that doesn't help the ones in a herd that get taken down by carnivores anyway, or fall and are trampled, but if you're trying to get as many wildebeest from A to B alive then you want a herd so that's the "wildebeest migration public health policy".
What's good for populations isn't necessarily the best for all individuals that are part of it (and vice versa, e.g. playing the lottery purely for financial gain is a mug's game at population level because the bank always comes out ahead, but if you luck out with a winning ticket then you're obviously ahead as an individual), but public health policy/advice that doesn't account for every single member of a population can still be beneficial overall. But with cycle helmets they're proposed as a general intervention for public benefit when we don't have a clear idea that they benefit public safety overall.
As Jonathan often points out, we need to be very clear about what specific questions we're actually asking when considering the answers, and it's not very likely that "am I, personally, on this particular trip, more or less likely to get a free ride to A&E if I wear this thing or not?" is one of the questions you'll get an answer to.
Pete.
Often seen riding a bike around Dundee...