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Re: Are you "Infected by a remainer mind virus"?

Posted: 2 May 2023, 2:54pm
by Jdsk
YouGov is using a different question for tracking: "How the government is handling the issue of Brexit in the UK":
https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/tr ... -in-the-uk

Very good longitudinal data and also breaks down by region, was well as age, gender, politics and social grade.

Jonathan

Screenshot 2023-05-02 at 14.53.38.png

Re: Are you "Infected by a remainer mind virus"?

Posted: 2 May 2023, 3:17pm
by simonineaston
What annoys me most is the fact that so few people seem to have a good grasp of the underlying and continuing issues... reflecting on my own experience, I barely know more than one or two people who have taken the time & trouble to read round the subject responsibly and who can articulate relevant arguments. Myself, I've spent hours reading as much as I can get my hands on and still don't think I have a particularly good grasp of the important topics concerned.
In partic. the catnip that is the word sovereignty seems to evade the full understanding of the vast majority of folk I've heard discuss it! All-in-all, it's certainly not the sort of issue for which we should have risked a binding referendum!

Re: Are you "Infected by a remainer mind virus"?

Posted: 2 May 2023, 3:20pm
by Jdsk
simonineaston wrote: 2 May 2023, 3:17pm What annoys me most is the fact that so few people seem to have a good grasp of the underlying and continuing issues... reflecting on my own experience, I barely know more than one or two people who have taken the time & trouble to read round the subject responsibly and who can articulate relevant arguments. Myself, I've spent hours reading as much as I can get my hands on and still don't think I have a particularly good grasp of the important topics concerned.
In partic. the catnip that is the word sovereignty seems to evade the full understanding of the vast majority of folk I've heard discuss it! All-in-all, it's certainly not the sort of issue for which we should have risked a binding referendum!
Which makes an excellent case for more discussion rather than less.

Jonathan

Re: Are you "Infected by a remainer mind virus"?

Posted: 2 May 2023, 3:54pm
by simonineaston
Yes, more discussion!
I better hastily add that the criticism in my previous post doesn't properly extend to folks here on the CUK forum as I don't really "know" you... :-)

Re: Are you "Infected by a remainer mind virus"?

Posted: 2 May 2023, 5:18pm
by reohn2
Missed this post
roubaixtuesday wrote: 29 Apr 2023, 7:17am Politicians are IMO absolutely not all the same.

The likes of Johnson and Trump are another breed entirely from more traditional politicians, many of whom whether you agree with them or not are sincere in their attempts to improve things.

This is not a party political point; take note of the excoriating opinions of more traditional tories like Rory Stewart, Dominic Grieve and Max Hastings of Johnson.

The worst of politicians *want* you to believe all politicians are the same.
Spot on!

Re: Are you "Infected by a remainer mind virus"?

Posted: 2 May 2023, 5:18pm
by Psamathe
simonineaston wrote: 2 May 2023, 3:17pm ... All-in-all, it's certainly not the sort of issue for which we should have risked a binding referendum!
It wasn't a binding referendum.

Ian

Re: Are you "Infected by a remainer mind virus"?

Posted: 2 May 2023, 5:27pm
by reohn2
Jdsk wrote: 2 May 2023, 3:20pm
simonineaston wrote: 2 May 2023, 3:17pm What annoys me most is the fact that so few people seem to have a good grasp of the underlying and continuing issues... reflecting on my own experience, I barely know more than one or two people who have taken the time & trouble to read round the subject responsibly and who can articulate relevant arguments. Myself, I've spent hours reading as much as I can get my hands on and still don't think I have a particularly good grasp of the important topics concerned.
In partic. the catnip that is the word sovereignty seems to evade the full understanding of the vast majority of folk I've heard discuss it! All-in-all, it's certainly not the sort of issue for which we should have risked a binding referendum!
Which makes an excellent case for more discussion rather than less.

Jonathan
+1 yet it seems the people who don't wish to engage in such discussion are leavers,funny that!

Re: Are you "Infected by a remainer mind virus"?

Posted: 2 May 2023, 5:41pm
by 853
roubaixtuesday wrote: 2 May 2023, 2:38pm
You don't understand statistics.

These polls are designed to give representative results to within about +/-3%

Why you think you know better than polling and statistical experts is a matter for you, but of course, (1) nobody would commission these if they weren't representative and (2) if sample size made them unreliable, the results would very massively from poll to poll. They don't.
If you want to know about the accuracy of opinion polls, you should ask David Cameron and George Osborne

roubaixtuesday wrote: 2 May 2023, 2:38pm
Seriously, you're just denying reality here. Most people think Brexit has failed. We need to deal with it and move forward.
I'm not denying anything, you are just trying to make out that a poll of 1300 from a population of over 67.33 million is definitive proof
roubaixtuesday wrote: 1 May 2023, 7:41pm
Given the polling, it must be the case pretty much everywhere.

Re: Are you "Infected by a remainer mind virus"?

Posted: 2 May 2023, 5:46pm
by Jdsk
853 wrote: 2 May 2023, 5:41pm
roubaixtuesday wrote: 2 May 2023, 2:38pm You don't understand statistics.

These polls are designed to give representative results to within about +/-3%

Why you think you know better than polling and statistical experts is a matter for you, but of course, (1) nobody would commission these if they weren't representative and (2) if sample size made them unreliable, the results would very massively from poll to poll. They don't.
If you want to know about the accuracy of opinion polls, you should ask David Cameron and George Osborne
...
There's a difference between the accuracy of sampling as a technique for discovering opinions within a population and the accuracy of any technique for predicting how people will vote.

Jonathan

Re: Are you "Infected by a remainer mind virus"?

Posted: 2 May 2023, 6:14pm
by roubaixtuesday
853 wrote: 2 May 2023, 5:41pm
roubaixtuesday wrote: 2 May 2023, 2:38pm
You don't understand statistics.

These polls are designed to give representative results to within about +/-3%

Why you think you know better than polling and statistical experts is a matter for you, but of course, (1) nobody would commission these if they weren't representative and (2) if sample size made them unreliable, the results would very massively from poll to poll. They don't.
If you want to know about the accuracy of opinion polls, you should ask David Cameron and George Osborne

roubaixtuesday wrote: 2 May 2023, 2:38pm
Seriously, you're just denying reality here. Most people think Brexit has failed. We need to deal with it and move forward.
I'm not denying anything, you are just trying to make out that a poll of 1300 from a population of over 67.33 million is definitive proof
roubaixtuesday wrote: 1 May 2023, 7:41pm
Given the polling, it must be the case pretty much everywhere.
Sure you are - you're denying overwhelming evidence that a very clear majority of people think brexit was a mistake.

In a similar way to how the original Telegraph article can't accept the failure, but instead blames others for it.

Classic grief cycle/change curve stuff. You'll get there.

Re: Are you "Infected by a remainer mind virus"?

Posted: 2 May 2023, 6:22pm
by simonineaston
It wasn't a binding referendum.
I chose to use the wrong word, I spose... I recall that the gov. at the time promised to impliment the result, so in that sense we could consider it was "binding".

Re: Are you "Infected by a remainer mind virus"?

Posted: 2 May 2023, 8:21pm
by ossie
roubaixtuesday wrote: 2 May 2023, 6:14pm
Sure you are - you're denying overwhelming evidence that a very clear majority of people think brexit was a mistake.

53% isn't a very clear majority and that's exactly what one of your polls showed for 22nd March 2023 and 19th April , literally less than two weeks ago.

You've probably spent the last seven years arguing 52% wasn't a very clear majority so why are you claiming 53% is. This was one of your polls (yougov) which btw was up and down like a fiddlers elbow so hardly seems demonstrative of public opinion.

Re: Are you "Infected by a remainer mind virus"?

Posted: 2 May 2023, 8:37pm
by roubaixtuesday
ossie wrote: 2 May 2023, 8:21pm
roubaixtuesday wrote: 2 May 2023, 6:14pm
Sure you are - you're denying overwhelming evidence that a very clear majority of people think brexit was a mistake.

53% isn't a very clear majority and that's exactly what one of your polls showed for 22nd March 2023 and 19th April , literally less than two weeks ago.

You've probably spent the last seven years arguing 52% wasn't a very clear majority so why are you claiming 53% is. This was one of your polls (yougov) which btw was up and down like a fiddlers elbow so hardly seems demonstrative of public opinion.
I note that you ascribe all the don't knows in one direction.

Re: Are you "Infected by a remainer mind virus"?

Posted: 2 May 2023, 8:54pm
by ossie
roubaixtuesday wrote: 2 May 2023, 8:37pm
ossie wrote: 2 May 2023, 8:21pm
roubaixtuesday wrote: 2 May 2023, 6:14pm
Sure you are - you're denying overwhelming evidence that a very clear majority of people think brexit was a mistake.

53% isn't a very clear majority and that's exactly what one of your polls showed for 22nd March 2023 and 19th April , literally less than two weeks ago.

You've probably spent the last seven years arguing 52% wasn't a very clear majority so why are you claiming 53% is. This was one of your polls (yougov) which btw was up and down like a fiddlers elbow so hardly seems demonstrative of public opinion.
I note that you ascribe all the don't knows in one direction.
Impossible to quantify but if they're unable to say yes to such a simple question then you can't consider it a yes. These polls also have a margin of error. I'm not sure if that's been taken into account or simply assumed.

Clearly you still haven't learnt from the pre referendum polls. They may be indicative but not always accurate. A cucumber shortage next week might see the yes votes shoot up, a rumour that Turkey could join the EU would, without doubt see them plummet. Lets be honest , we don't have to worry about things like that now.

Re: Are you "Infected by a remainer mind virus"?

Posted: 3 May 2023, 7:46am
by Carlton green
simonineaston wrote: 2 May 2023, 6:22pm
It wasn't a binding referendum.
I chose to use the wrong word, I spose... I recall that the gov. at the time promised to impliment the result, so in that sense we could consider it was "binding".
I think that you actually used the right word. It was clear at the time that the referendum would be considered binding on the government and that all that was required was a simple majority … which Cameron was completely confident that remainers would achieve.